Rays Comeback to Defeat A's 5-4
There's no such thing as must win games in August, but last night's was about as close as they come. There's no reason in the world that one of the best teams in baseball should ever lose three games in a row to the Oakland A's. Thankfully the Rays didn't.
The first inning didn't turn out too well for David Price, but it wasn't as if he got hit hard. The A's scored two runs - while Price threw 43 pitches - but they didn't hit a single ball hard. A couple of soft ground balls found holes, the A's ran a double steal followed by a sac fly and a bloop single that fell into theBermuda Triangle in left field. Price settled down nicely after that, saving the bullpen a bit by going six innings. He did allow two more runs, but one of those was aided by a throwing error on Evan Longoria. With Daric Barton on first after a walk, Kurt Suzuki lined out sharply to third. Longoria tried to double up Barton at first, but instead threw it past Pena into the cavernous foul territory of the Oakland Colisium. The play looked too close to attempt a throw like that in this stadium. Eating that ball is the safe play, and likely would have prevented Barton from scoring on Mark Ellis' double.
It was encouraging to see Price not rely so much on his fastball. He threw it only 70 times in 98 pitches. His best pitch on the night was his curveball. Price unleashed it 20 times and registered 16 strikes - four of the swinging variety. While the results weren't there tonight, the fact that he trusted his secondary stuff that much is a good sign going forward.
The error by Longoria didn't hurt toobad considering he had hit a home run in the second inning, his third in the past four games. A Carl Crawford single, a Carlos Pena double, and a Ben Zobrist sac fly helped the Rays score a run in the 6th inning, momentarily evening the score up at two. The Rays would take the lead for good in the 8th. With two outs and Pena on first, Willy Aybar doubled to deep center off Craig Breslow, scoring the run. Bob Geren, with Brad Ziegler warm in the bullpen, decided to let Breslow face Sean Rodriguez. That turned out to be a mistake in hindsight, as Rodriguez belted a home run to deep center field. If Ziegler is brought in the Rays probably don't take the lead that inning. But, he wasn't, and the Rays get a much needed victory to stay one game back of the Yankees.
- Good job by Randy Choate, Chad Qualls, and Rafael Soriano to finish up the game. Over their three combined innings of work they allowed just one hit and struck out four.
- In a completely unrelated note, did anyone see Russell Branyan's upper deck shot at Yankee Stadium yesterday? My God.
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Good to see the Rays pull it off late. The Branyan homerun was a MONSTER!
Devil Rays World Series 2009
by Japhei on Aug 22, 2010 11:27 AM EDT reply actions
I actually stuck with the game
But was listening to the radio when SRod struck his blow. Went back to the tube after that. Great win – but I’d see no shame losing 3 in row to the A’s. They have some awesome pitching…
Price showed a little bit of toughness after the 1st, that was good. Too bad that inning took away another IP…Soriano once again was nails.
Now let’s see Braden get his ’nads handed to him. The Rays need some serious payback, like they did to Buhrle. We need a laugher after all these close games…
SeanRod needs to play more
Yes i know he’s in there v all LHP, but i’d rather see him than Aybar, or DanJo v some RHP
This kid had a career 1000+ OPS in three AAA seasons, and yes i know it was the PCL, but i don’t care if it was a wiiffle ball game in RJ’s backyard, that’s still mashing the ball
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weren't you ridiculously high on the Danjo bandwagon, gloating about how right you were for wanting him up,
like 64 PA ago. Dan Jo has walked 40% more than Srod in 1/6th the PA
Is it possible SeanRod is our SS of the future?
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It is possible, provided that Brignac, Bartlett, and Beckham all happen to die in the same horrible jetski accident.
i'll tweet that prick right now
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by sternfan1 on Aug 21, 2010 8:42 PM PDT up reply actions
by PlayOnWords on Aug 22, 2010 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions
Bartlett is likely to be gone next season, Beckham is still in A ball
and Brignac can’t hit his way out of a paper bag
Next
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His range has amazed me
Reports said that he was a plus defender, but he could be ++. The main issue right now is his K/BB, but if that picks up at all (and yesterday was a good sign what with his first BB in like a month pretty much) he could become a star player. The power and speed are certainly there.
Potentially, he is a 5 tool player
and to get that kind of power out of the SS position thrills me
His BB% must improve, and it was fine in AAA
I envision a Bartlett ’09 season for him with regulat PT in ’11 with more HR and less BA
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If we do that, then that means Zo is pretty much our everyday 2B, and that leaves no one to platoon RF with Joyce
I’m not averse to the idea, but Joyce needs to learn to hit lefties first.
Nicknames for Benoit-Soriano? How about ‘one and done’ describing the length of time they’re likely to be Rays
by sternfan1 on Jul 25, 2010 4:01 AM PDT
Dirty Les
i'll tweet that prick right now
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by sternfan1 on Aug 21, 2010 8:42 PM PDT up reply actions
by PlayOnWords on Aug 22, 2010 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm certain there will be OF options we're not aware of at this time
’11 Line up
Upton
Zobrist
Longoria
Pena (yes i know)
SeanRod
Joyce
DH
Shoppach/Jaso
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oops--Jennings in there somewhere
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1B - Yonder Alonso
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by sternfan1 on Aug 21, 2010 8:42 PM PDT up reply actions
by PlayOnWords on Aug 22, 2010 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions
to be fair, Ruggs could be an adequate platoon partner
IIRC he hits lefties pretty well, and he isn’t a bad defender.
Fell asleep after the 6th inning, but I'm happy to see that Qualls was back to his old self
After the A’s managed to steal two mostly undeserved victories in a row, it’s only fair that we were able to return the favor.
Nicknames for Benoit-Soriano? How about ‘one and done’ describing the length of time they’re likely to be Rays
by sternfan1 on Jul 25, 2010 4:01 AM PDT
Price's slider to Crisp in the 5th was really encouraging
It was reminiscent of his devestator
David Price is falling into the Kazmir trap in that he can't finish off batters as they continue to foul off pitches
This is growing more prevalent than early on
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I think he's done.
i'll tweet that prick right now
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by sternfan1 on Aug 21, 2010 8:42 PM PDT up reply actions
by PlayOnWords on Aug 22, 2010 12:38 PM EDT up reply actions
I think you are so drunk on Kool-Aid you refuse to ever debate an issue
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
Not true at all. I enjoy the debates. But usually two things happen.
1) I don’t get in on the debate early enough to make my points. Someone else usually gets there first. If I didn’t work for a living, I’m sure I could jump in from go and debate the piss out of stuff.
2) I don’t prefer to debate non-topics, like David Price turning into Scott Kazmir. There is literally no evidence to support such a claim. He’s been extremely good for us this year. One night with poor command does not make him broken.
i'll tweet that prick right now
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by sternfan1 on Aug 21, 2010 8:42 PM PDT up reply actions
by PlayOnWords on Aug 22, 2010 12:53 PM EDT up reply actions
wah wah wah
The caller said the boy, after removing the bulb from its socket, left the building and threw the bulb on the ground. When the bulb broke, the caller said the boy screamed "Free the slaves at traffic stops from false arrest and jury fixing"
by Top Gun Numba 1 on Aug 22, 2010 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions
The A's have been doing that all series long. I wouldn't worry just yet
Nicknames for Benoit-Soriano? How about ‘one and done’ describing the length of time they’re likely to be Rays
by sternfan1 on Jul 25, 2010 4:01 AM PDT
At first I just wanted to dismiss you as searching for a negative, but I decided to look into some numbers
I can’t wrap around if this is completely the best way to look at it, but it came to mind so here it is:
I decided to look at 2 stats I have available. My reasoning is that if you are right, he is either striking out less (K/Batters Faced) and/or throwing more pitches per batter faced. I will post the graphs.
The results show that he has had a few outings lately where he has thrown more pitches per BF than what his trend seems to be on the year. On the other end his K/BF seems to be pretty high from his early season numbers.
Without looking at foul ball data (if it exists or is easily mineable) I’d say that your analysis probably doesn’t indicate any trend or anything to worry over.
Wait, you mean he's adjusting to having to throw more innings and pitches than ever before?
pantsshitting.jpg
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by sternfan1 on Aug 21, 2010 8:42 PM PDT up reply actions
by PlayOnWords on Aug 22, 2010 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions
Without the graphs some other interesting items
Hits/BF and BB/BF also do not appear to be trending upward, they are volatile stats but seem to be in normal seasonal levels.
This was really only the case in the first inning
He cruised from then on. And it wouldn’t have been as bad if it weren’t for the insane BABIP that occurred.
by sattp on Aug 22, 2010 12:57 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
wOBA Linear Weights
Where can I find these? I was looking at BJ’s moving 10-game wOBA for the season and then overall and I’m calculating something like .368 which is .28 higher than Fan Graphs.
My formula:
(.72*BB+.90*1B+1.24*2B+1.56*3B+1.95*HR)/AB
I combined BB and HBP and eliminated RBOE since FG doesn’t have that data (unless I’m missing something)
Kinda figured it out, but still not there
I was using AB instead of PA. So I added AB+BB and now I’m getting something like .326
Well my calc is coming in at .326 so that is going to drive it lower.
I think, based on the book, that the 15% adjustment is already in the linear weights shown.
If anyone reads this and gives enough of a damn, let me know
I’ll give a link to my sheet to tell me why I’m an idiot
If anyone wants to take a look and tell me what I'm doing wrong (or different than FG) I'd appreciate it.
I’d like to do some of my own analysis but if I can’t get wOBA right, then I might as well pack it in.
"Strasburg told the club he had this kind of injury in college and pitched through it"
I bet he neglected to mention that before his signing or since.
Can anything happen with him saying he was injury proned after he signed?
Or just a pain for the Nationals to deal with
I don't think there is anything they can do about it.
I seem to remember Dice-K was injured for part of a season and didn’t bother telling the team until he sustained a more serious injury. Then he said something like “yeah, I’ve been having pain for months”
same line up today.
How many times has he actually used the exact same line up two days in a row this year?
"If you want to get laid, go to college. If you want an education, go to the library." ~Frank Zappa
by JSeverin on Aug 22, 2010 2:45 PM EDT via mobile reply actions

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