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Revisiting the 10th Inning: What Should Maddon Have Done?

We haven't done too many reactionary looks at Joe Maddon's decision making here lately. Frankly, he hasn't given us much of an opportunity to. However, a situation arose in the top of the 10th inning last night that merits discussion.

For those that don't remember, here's the scene: top of the tenth inning, Dan Wheeler has been brought in to pitch for the Rays, replacing Rafael Soriano. Jorge Posada is pinch-hitting for Francisco Cervelli, with Derek Jeter and Curtis Granderson on deck. And then boom went the dynamite - Posada hit a homerun off Wheeler, giving the Yankees the go-ahead and winning run.

Now, let me start by saying that I don't think there is much Maddon could have done differently. Bringing out Dan Wheeler to face the switch hitting Jorge Posada doesn't look to have been the best move in hindsight. Sure, results could have been different had Maddon gone with another pitcher, but the process in making the decision was defensible. He had Wheeler, Randy Choate, Lance Cormier, and Andy Sonnanstine unused in the bullpen. I do not think Balfour was available or else he'd have likely started this inning, making this post moot. Let's take a look at the possible scenarios Maddon had to choose from heading into the inning:

A. Dan Wheeler faces the switch hitting Posada and the right handed Jeter, Randy Choate faces the left handed Curtis Granderson.

B.Rafael Soriano, having thrown just 11 pitches in the 9th, comes out to face Posada, Dan Wheeler faces Jeter, Choate faces Granderson. Cormier or Sonnanstine can take over after.

C.Lance Cormier pitches the entire inning

D.Andy Sonnanstine pitches the entire inning.

I'm inclined to believe that option B would have been the Rays' best bet. I know Soriano had pitched the two days prior, but he only threw 11 pitches in the ninth inning and would almost certainly be unavailable for tomorrow night's game anyway. Posada is so good from both sides of the plate - his career wOBA's are .379 versus righties and .373 versus lefties - that bringing in a specialist like Wheeler is nearly pointless. With Cormier and Sonnanstine able to pitch multiple innings, the use of three pitchers in one frame wouldn't be so costly. Again, that is the benefit of hindsight.

If Maddon felt like he didn't want Soriano to throw any more pitches, then I respect that and I agree that option A was the right way to go if that was the case, despite Wheeler's struggles against left handed bats (career 4.79 xFIP). Sadly, it didn't work out and Posada hit a home run, sending the Rays to defeat. Call me a homer, but even though the result was poor the process behind the decision was solid.

What do you think?

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What about the fact that Benoit threw 9 pitches in the 8th? Couldn't he have come out for the bottom of the order in the 9th, saving Sori for the meat in the 10th?

The caller said the boy, after removing the bulb from its socket, left the building and threw the bulb on the ground. When the bulb broke, the caller said the boy screamed "To be the best, you have to beat the best…"

by Top Gun Numba 1 on Sep 15, 2010 10:09 AM EDT reply actions  

Maddon should've just rode the Qualls train for another inning or so...

and then gone to Benoit & MFIKY. :)

RaysRev.com or m_weber on twitter

by Rays_Rev on Sep 15, 2010 10:19 AM EDT reply actions  

After making wonderful decisions Monday night, Maddon chose poorly last night

Soriano threw 5 pitches on Sunday and his Monday pitchload was not heavy nor was last night’s. He could have gone one more batter.

by Jason Collette on Sep 15, 2010 10:25 AM EDT reply actions  

What if it wasnt a pitch issue?

After mentioning a sore back maybe Maddon didn’t want him to pitch, sit down, and then come out again.

www.draysbay.com, www.bloombergsports.mlblogs.com, Twitter @trancel

by Tommy Rancel on Sep 15, 2010 10:30 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

There is a 100% chance we see wheels again tonight because Maddon doesn't want to shatter his confidence

The caller said the boy, after removing the bulb from its socket, left the building and threw the bulb on the ground. When the bulb broke, the caller said the boy screamed "To be the best, you have to beat the best…"

by Top Gun Numba 1 on Sep 15, 2010 10:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

Significant error?

I’m fine with Joe going with what works… Benny in the 8th, MFIKY in the 9th. I was screaming at my TV when Balfour did not come out though. If he was unavailable, fine. The other decisions were things I’ll give Joe the benefit of the doubt on.

by Jeffrey Borbas on Sep 15, 2010 10:56 AM EDT reply actions  

What do I think?

I think if we won you wouldn’t be questioning Maddon’s decisions.

by floridaroar on Sep 15, 2010 11:31 AM EDT reply actions  

Hard to believe I'm saying this, but I would have gone with Corms

Wheeler is by the far the most prone to the dinger. Corms is more likely to keep the ball low off the bat. I have no problem protecting the back end of the pen. This one is more on the offense for not breaking through first vs the Yanks pen while the back end of the pen bought some time. I also was surprised to see McGee come back out after we gained the lead.

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Sep 15, 2010 12:04 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

I was shocked to see McGee come back out.

love it love it love it
i hate one person more than Pap smear—his name is bin laden
by sternfan1 on Aug 12, 2010 3:33 PM EDT

by SRQman on Sep 15, 2010 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

I just don't understand the idea of bringing in a ROOGY to face a SH.

Cormier/Balfour/Soriano are all better options as neither has Wheeler or Chaote’s platoon splits.

by rglass44 on Sep 15, 2010 12:05 PM EDT reply actions  

For this year in 35 ABs (to go with a .135 BABIP).

Over the course of his career though he has .276/.343/.494/.836 line.

by rglass44 on Sep 15, 2010 12:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

.120 BABIP rather.

His OPS against is still .736 against LHP despite that crazy BABIP.

by rglass44 on Sep 15, 2010 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wheeler is a BABIP master

Fly ball pitcher. So many of his hits against leave park.

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Sep 15, 2010 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

.285/.327/.486 Shields line vs all hitter this year

Wheeler 974 lefties faced, Sheilds 791 total batters faced 2010

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Sep 15, 2010 1:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

The mistake was really with McGee, Hellickson, Qualls and Benoit

Given how things played out Wheeler was probably the best option in the 10th. Cormier wouldn’t have been bad considering Posada hit, but it is still Lance freaking Cormier.

Go Gators!!

by matthan on Sep 15, 2010 12:34 PM EDT reply actions  

Let me revise.

If it were Berkman followed by a couple of righties it’d be one thin, but like the post says Posada has little to no platoon difference.

by rglass44 on Sep 15, 2010 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think he never should have broughy MdGee back out...

only to follow it up with Hellickson. McGee was obviously struggling, there was no reason to bring him back out.

by davidsmarch on Sep 15, 2010 12:38 PM EDT reply actions  

Given the options in the 10th, I agree with what he did

He gambled on Posada, planning for a Wheeler+Choate 10th. The chances of Posada hitting a HR aren’t extraordinarily high—at worst, theoretically, he gets a base hit and we shut down the next 3 batters via matchups.

But for the love of god, can we please have a quick game today? This series hasn’t been good for the bullpen’s health.

Shawn Camp earned my dog several beatings back in 2007

by wtbudlight on Aug 30, 2010 5:54 PM PDT

by IntrepidX on Sep 15, 2010 2:00 PM EDT reply actions  

I agree.

Let’s call it after 7 — softball league style.

I think both the Yankees and Rays will be fine with that.

A DRaysBay writer from Cubs Stats and Twitter @BradleyWoodrum

by BWoodrum on Sep 15, 2010 5:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Extending Soriano would have been a worse decision

Last night was his 4th game in 5 days, and I think ideally Joe would want to have him for tonight if needed….I had no problem with Wheeler being in there and it’s only being second guessed because he gave up the GW

by Luva on Sep 15, 2010 3:09 PM EDT reply actions  

McGee

Let’s hope McGee just had the jitters. I was sorely disappointed as he walked two of the lighter- hitting Yankees.

by learnedglove on Sep 15, 2010 3:38 PM EDT reply actions  

Now here is an excuse you never heard before. It looked to me as if McGee’s shirt didn’t fit…it looked too tight in the shoulders.

On a different note…Maddon should work Hellickson into a spot start. He really doesn’t look comfortable in the BP role. He is a planner and plans how he will attack the batters at the beginning of the game. From the bull pen he doesn’t know who is going to face.

by halfabuc on Sep 15, 2010 5:59 PM EDT reply actions  

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