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Comparable Players By Age

Upon the retirement of Rocco Baldelli at the early age of 29, Matt Klaassen thought it fit to try and figure out what type of career he may have had if injuries hadn't ravaged his legs. Klaassen used the Similarity Score-based comparables on baseball-reference.com through Baldelli's age 24  season - his peak. The results were interesting: Ellis Burks, Gary Maddux, Gary Matthews Sr. It's a really interesting piece and I suggest you all go check it out. That got me to thinking, what players are some of the current Rays most similar to by age?*

*I'm only taking the players on roster with more than a few years of experience

B.J. Upton (25): Lee Mazzilli

Mazzilli's age 25 season wasn't bad by any stretch. He posted an OPS+ of 126 while stealing 45 bases and posting a .370 OBP. It would also be the last season in which Mazzilli played more than 111 games. Injuries took a tool on his career and he would play sparingly over nine more seasons. Let's hope the same doesn't happen to B.J.

Evan Longoria (24): Scott Rolen

I'm relieved Longoria's age 24 season comparable is Rolen, because at age 23 it was Hank Blalock. When his career is over I think Rolen will end up being one of the more under appreciated players of his era. There's a reason there are only 10 third basemen in the Hall of Fame; it's really tough to remain durable playing there. Rolen has had his share of injuries, but should have a strong Hall of Fame case when he retires. Not many third basemen hit .284/.369/498 over 15+ seasons. I think we all expect Longoria to be a better version of Rolen, which is lofty praise.

Ben Zobrist (29): Don Hoak.

I had no idea who Don Hoak was before researching this. He played for five teams over an 11 year career. His age 29 seasons just happened to be his best. He was an All-Star, OPS'ing .863 and putting up an OPS+ of 125, and leading the league with 39 doubles. Hoak enjoyed a few more productive seasons before retiring in 1964.

Kelly Shoppach (30): Chris Widger

Chris Widger. Gross.

James Shields (28): Carl Pavano

Shields' most comparable player at age 27 was Scott Baker. That's funny, because I've always thought of them in a similar fashion, but had never checked that. Seeing Carl Pavano's name there will stir up a range of emotions, I'm sure. However, Pavano's age 28 season is the one that caused the Yankees to give him that regretful contract. He went 18-8 with a 3.00 ERA that year for Florida. We all know that his years in New York didn't go so well, but he's turned his career around nicely with the Twins. If we're lucky Shields will grow a mustache half as good as Pavano.

David Price (24): Roger Moret

Price really only has one full season of starts to work off of. Moret pitched for three teams over nine seasons, retiring in 1978 with a 3.66 ERA. His 1973 season, at age 24, was his best, going 13-2 with a 3.17 ERA for the Red Sox. I'm sure as Price's career progresses we'll see some more impressive names on his list.

They haven't played a game for the Rays yet, but just for fun lets look at Manny Ramirez and Johnny Damon. Manny's age 38 comparable is Ken Griffey Jr, and Damon's age 37 is Vada Pinson. Damon's most similar batter of all time is Tim Raines, which is neat.

I wouldn't try and extrapolate too much from those comparisons, but they sure are interesting to look at.

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Erik's Motto:
I wouldn’t try and extrapolate too much from those comparisons, but they sure are interesting to look at.

The caller said the boy, after removing the bulb from its socket, left the building and threw the bulb on the ground. When the bulb broke, the caller said the boy screamed "I am going to deem your kids as a POS"

by Top Gun Numba 1 on Jan 27, 2011 8:22 AM EST reply actions  

All of these are really nice comparisons, except injuries seem to be the prevailing theme.

As long as our guys stay healthy, they could shoot even higher than most of the comparisons. And I find the Pavano / Shields thing interesting, but I think Shields is a tough one to match up with any one players.

I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously.

by Steve Slowinski on Jan 27, 2011 8:34 AM EST reply actions  

But isn't that the case most players?

You have one class of guys who just weren’t good enough talent-wise, and maybe played a year or two in the show. Then you have a second class that are good enough. Some get long careers, but most are cut short by some sort of injury. I’d even guess that most ‘declining effectiveness’ guys are really dealing with some sort of physical liability, if not injury (Decline in eyesight, that sort of thing). Guys that excel for 20 years are really rare.

by nomoredevil on Jan 27, 2011 9:00 AM EST up reply actions  

Widger/Shoppach makes complete sense to me

And it explains why there is so much hate on Shop.

by nomoredevil on Jan 27, 2011 8:51 AM EST reply actions  

Was Longo really compared to Blalock last season?

Man, forget about the bat outside of homers, how were they ever compared on the defensive side? Rolen is a nice one, let’s see if Longo can get even better.

Who do you think Chirinos would play like if he was our 2nd catcher?

Under construction

by joeybw on Jan 27, 2011 11:19 AM EST reply actions  

I think it's mostly an offensive comparison.

And I have no idea about Chirinos. I haven’t seen him play but it sounds like he’d be a right handed Jaso.

by Erik Hahmann on Jan 27, 2011 12:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Must've been overall

Longo did not have the best defensive season. Blalock was decent in his early years, not nearly as consistent to be remembered for that. I’ve been watching the Rangers for years, he had good defense back then. Also, it is a big offensive numbers comparison when it comes to Blalock too. However, Rolen is a much more consistent batter who has always had a flashy glove and was kept to the name Hot Corner. Scottie was a Hottie ;) If Longo is not plagued with as many injuries as Rolen, he should be just as good if not better, but that is saying a lot. Rolen is under appreciated for his overall game, great base runner, bat, defense, leadership. Longo has had his troubles running the bases early on, but has gotten better with time. The future is bright for Evan.

by miamigirl54 on Jan 27, 2011 10:48 PM EST up reply actions  

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