DRB WC #5: Home Field-ing Advantage
The Rays find themselves in a small minority when it comes to playing at home due to the much discussed use of a dome and artificial grass. In the 2010 season the Rays played well at home putting up and very good 49-32 record under the Tropicana lights. One definition of home field advantage I found is as follows:
(The) Edge the home team is expected to have as a result of the familiarity with the arena and effect of travel on the visting team.
Now, this got me thinking. The Rays had a good defence last year, a 2010 team UZR of 32.8, good for 3rd in the AL and 7th in all of MLB but how did the artificial playing surface affect the Rays defence whilst playing at the Trop?
To look a little bit into this (and this is just touching upon the subject) I decided to use Fangraphs to compare Rays players split UZR ratings, home and on the road. I took a sample of players who took the field for more than 200 innings at one position, obviously not including catchers or pitchers. Unfortunately I didn't have time to filter how many innings each player had at home and on the road so 200 innings is over the season as a whole, small sample size rules may apply! (but forget that for now ;) )
|
Player |
Name |
At Position |
Home UZR |
Road UZR |
|
Evan |
Longoria |
3B |
6.4 |
5.0 |
|
Ben |
Zobrist |
RF |
3.1 |
3.3 |
|
Ben |
Zobrist |
2B |
2.5 |
0.2 |
|
Carl |
Crawford |
LF |
13.9 |
4.1 |
|
BJ |
Upton |
CF |
-3.2 |
3.5 |
|
Carlos |
Pena |
1B |
2.2 |
-5.2 |
|
Jason |
Bartlett |
SS |
0.3 |
-10.6 |
|
Sean |
Rodriguez |
2B |
3.1 |
-0.1 |
|
Reid |
Brignac |
2B |
0.8 |
-0.9 |
|
Reid |
Brignac |
SS |
1.8 |
1.3 |
|
Matt |
Joyce |
RF |
0.2 |
4.5 |
|
Gabe |
Kapler |
RF |
-2.6 |
1.4 |
Or a more visually pleasing look.
As you can see there are a few of instances where a player has a better UZR rating on the road than at home. These are Zobrist in RF (albeit 0.2 difference), Upton, Joyce and Kapler. I'm not sure if there is any relevance in the fact that all these players are from the OF but if we look at the overall picture the Rays home team UZR among these players is 28.5, whilst on the road it is 6.5, a 22.0 difference. Now, I'm sure the main reasons for this is the fact that the players know their home field, the way it plays, the bounce, the speed off the surface etc...so I decided to look at the rest of the AL East to get a better idea of how our divisional rivals faired on their home field using the same criteria.
The results were fairly surprising.
|
Team |
Home UZR |
Away UZR |
Diff |
|
28.5 |
6.5 |
21.97 |
|
|
1.7 |
16.9 |
-15.2 |
|
|
-17.8 |
11 |
-28.8 |
|
|
13.6 |
-22.6 |
36.2 |
|
|
-31.1 |
7.6 |
-38.7 |
From this table you can see that the only team other than the Rays to have a better home UZR rating compared to their road UZR is the Blue Jays, albeit with an awful road rating. Of course, you could say the Rays had an overall better defence, which they do but you would still expect a teams home UZR to far outweigh their road equivalent.
On the face of it, it looks as though the Rays have a rather large home fielding advantage and play better on the artificial surface of the Trop than most of their divisional rivals do on their home fields. It would be interesting to look at how the road team performs on the rays ‘turf' but from what I can see we are gaining from the lack of grass.
This post was written by a member of the DRaysBay community and does not necessarily express the views or opinions of DRaysBay staff.
21 comments
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26 recs |
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Comments
This is very interesting. I'd like to see it expanded over several season, though.
UZR really takes a large amount of data to be worthy, and when you divide that data (home and road) then you open yourself to random fluctuations.
Also, the player breakdown chart, is it just UZR or UZR/150? I think UZR/150 would be more informational, but again, it’s a very small sample.
A DRaysBay writer from Cubs Stats and Twitter @BradleyWoodrum
Interesting.
Any data how all away teams fair at the Trop? Maybe it’s a field characteristic and not a team characteristic.
As you can always expect come from behind victory is when you least expect it.
Maybe the reason the Yanks, Sox et al play better on the road
is that their ‘road’ include the Trop & Rogers (sp?) Centre (sp?) where hops on turf are truer? Whereas our ‘road’ includes that pathetic excuse for a park in Boston?
Like others have said
this article opens the possiblity that UZR, and other defensive metrics, may need to be scaled differently from artificial turn to real grass. Surely someone has looking into this before?
Best to me is most reasoned.
I’m not looking to vote on one of the funny ones, especially since they’re weak.
Agreed.
Note the lack of useless drivel and unsubstantiated claims parroted from sports radio. He starts with an observation to form a hypothesis, followed by using data to determine whether or not his gut instinct was correct. This is far and away the only one so far that’s been worth my rec.
There was a huge article in the Jan 17 issue of SI that made a very strong (statistically backed) argument that home field advantage is
overwhelmingly due to unconscious home team bias by umpires. This bias correlates well with the number of fans in the stadium rooting for the home team, which presumably have a psychological effect on the umpire.
I think it would be great if you read this article and give reasons as to why the two of you came to quite different conclusions. I cannot find the article online, but it may have been a excerpt from this book
http://www.amazon.com/Scorecasting-Hidden-Influences-Behind-Sports/dp/0307591794
It'll be interesting to see what Craw's UZR numbers are up in Fenway
Nice read, thanks.
Hell yeah it is.
Any amount of points can be scored week to week. well, besides 1 point. Any number is as likely to be reached as another, since there’s only one of each number, each has the same chance to be hit. IT’s how the syetemof averages works.
by waltermercier on Sep 21, 2010 1:11 PM EDT up reply actions
by Andy Hellicksonstine on Jan 28, 2011 10:20 PM EST reply actions
Good job with the research and work you put into this.
I just personally had a hard time reading it. But based on quality and professional quality, I’d say this was very well done.
Okay, since most of feedback has been positive so far...
….here’s a little constructive criticism for the writer to consider.
While the concept is one worth exploring, and the presentation was both good (especially the graphs) AND in a style that resonates with DRB readers, I actually thought the analysis was kinds of shallow. Maybe it is okay as a primer to a topic you are going to dig deeper into over the course of later posts, but as a piece that stands on its own? Not so much. And it’s never a good idea to say “I didn’t have time to…” in an article.
That said, the writer does show some promise. This is my second favorite of the entries so far, and the most appropriate for this site.
A better way of saying "I didn't have time to..." is to say "Future research on this topic could ..."
to leave it open ended and with more possibilities for exploration. Good article, though, definitely the best of the 6.
Soon to be the next uprooted Rays fan displaced to Chicago?
Also I wonder how this would stack up with other defensive metrics? I like to get a range across the 3 since many people don't like UZR.
Soon to be the next uprooted Rays fan displaced to Chicago?























