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The Rays Tank: Consistency, Sam Fuld, and wWPA

ST PETERSBURG, FL - OCTOBER 04:  Outfielder Sam Fuld #5 of the Tampa Bay Rays warms up just before the start of Game Four of the American League Division Series against the Texas Rangers during at Tropicana Field on October 4, 2011 in St. Petersburg, Florida.  (Photo by J. Meric/Getty Images)

MLB Chatter

With no games yesterday, the baseball world stood still for the most part. It was one of those awkward dead times of the baseball year; with the World Series coming up, there should be plenty to talk about. But as baseball has become a very regional affair in recent years, it's gotten to the point where many people have trouble following along as hard when their favorite team gets eliminated. And so, yesterday was awkward; it reminded us the offseason was coming, and didn't leave many non-Rangers and Cards fans things to talk about. Doot doot doot.

There were a couple cool articles out there yesterday. A. Darowski over at Beyond the Boxscore created a postseason version of WPA, which he call Weighted WPA. It takes into effect the importance of the game being played, so big events happening in key games of a series are even more important. It's very cool, and you'll never guess who's the leader in wWPA (/sarcasm).

Also, Dave Cameron looked at how the bullpens were a large part of the success for both the Rangers and Cardinals, and makes the point that dominant bullpens might start having more and more of an effect in the postseason in coming years. The postseason allows teams to use their relievers even more aggressively, and teams are starting to take advantage of that fact.

Rays Talk

Over at ESPN Florida, Tommy has another article up; this time he takes a look at Sam Fuld and tries to divine what his role with the club will be going forward. It's easy to write Fuld off as a disposable piece, but he's an effective fourth outfielder and can produce at the plate when put in favorable situations. The Rays will likely be holding onto him for the next couple seasons.

Also, last week there was a discussion on the site about consistency and how it effects an offense. Whelk was kind enough to pass along some links regarding consistency, so for anyone out there that had there interest piqued the other day, here you go: Part 1 and Part 2. The articles are a bit old, but they're good conversation starters and get your mind thinking.

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I actually think that Baxamusa makes a fairly obvious mistake in his thought experiment.

But the fact that he’s pretty smart, and that I think his mistake is obvious, make me think I’m missing something.

Per his experiment, consistency in runs scored is a good thing for a team if they’re scoring 4.5 runs per game, and consistency in runs allowed is bad if you’re allowing 4.5 runs per game. But as the average number changes, the equation changes. Per this article from David Gassko, there’s a break even point in there.

Shouldn’t it be that you only want to be inconsistent if you’re a good offense, and if you’re a bad offense, you’d rather be inconsistent?

by Whelk on Oct 18, 2011 10:01 AM EDT reply actions  

Hold up

Bullpens will start having a bigger role in post season play? I was under the impression the best bullpen is what leads a team through the post season.

by d.russ on Oct 18, 2011 11:50 AM EDT reply actions  

Cameron just trolls for comments, don't give him the satisfaction

and there goes our season

OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions

by Sandy Kazmir on Oct 18, 2011 12:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

highlight (for Impy):
BEST PURE HITTER: Rays scouts love everything about SS Jake Hager (1), starting with his bat. He’s a baseball rat with a good approach and handsy, line-drive swing, and he uses the whole field and has impressive consistency.

by rglass44 on Oct 18, 2011 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Rule #2 for the Rays

Never can have enough SS

I put the screw IN THE TUNA!

by Transplanted on Oct 18, 2011 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Rule #1 is that we don't talk about rule #2, idiot

and there goes our season

OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions

by Sandy Kazmir on Oct 18, 2011 12:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

shut up shut up shut up

and there goes our season

OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions

by Sandy Kazmir on Oct 18, 2011 1:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

There's studying & HW to be done

And I’ll be damned if I’m not gonna avoid it right now

I put the screw IN THE TUNA!

by Transplanted on Oct 18, 2011 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Multiple dead threads make sitting at the airport for delayed flights even harder

and there goes our season

OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions

by Sandy Kazmir on Oct 18, 2011 1:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Fuld Chronicles

Met and talked with Sam at Fan Fest. Immediately noticed his passion for the game and desire to be with the defensive excellent Rays. Perfect 4th outfielder and bench guy. Believe in the Fuld.

by RayJzone on Oct 18, 2011 2:23 PM EDT reply actions  

hey bud...

big fan of RayJ too. You like Moesha?

Boom. Outta Here.

Follow me on Twitter @RyanGilliss

Also follow my Wolfpack:

@RealNolenBailey

@wtb_tampa

@ptsuttery

@sternfan10

@Josh_Frank

by Ryan Gilliss on Oct 18, 2011 7:29 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

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