The 2012 Free Agent Relief Market, Or Why Shawn Camp Makes Sense
The 2012 crop of free agent relievers isn't overly impressive. There's a few big names like Papelbon and Rodriguez, but mostly it's infested with the arms of the mediocre. I picked out a few names that interest me as a Rays fan, some more realistic than others.
Shawn Camp: 3.91 FIP in 2011
Camp wasn't exactly adored when he donned the Devil Rays uniform in 2006 and 2007. He's an extreme ground ball pitcher that relies on good glove-work behind him to turn those balls into outs. The Rays didn't have that during his tenure, employing such luminaries as Ty Wigginton, Jorge Cantu, Brendan Harris and Josh Wilson in the infield. His .418 BABIP in 2007 is the highest single season mark in baseball over the past five years with a minimum of 30 innings pitched. That isn't all attributed to the awful Devil Rays defense -- his FIP was 5.29 afterall -- but it sure didn't help. He improved considerably in moving to Toronto, averaging a 3.82 FIP in his four seasons.
The Rays defense has improved greatly since he left and could use an effective ground ball pitcher. He made $2.25 million in 2011 which is a bit higher than his WAR value of $1.8 million. He's said he'd like to return to Toronto, and the team may very well offer him arbitration. He likely wouldn't receive a bump in salary, but might choose to return to a situation he's comfortable with regardless. If he rejects an arbitration offer Toronto would receive a sandwich pick as compensation. It would be beneficial to the Rays were he allowed to walk.
This selection may be wishful thinking on my part, seeing as how Hawkins made $4 million last season and was worth nearly every penny. Some team will likely offer the soon to be 39-year-old a lucrative offer, or at least more lucrative than the Rays can afford. He's been one of the better, and most durable, middle relievers in baseball over the past decade. Signing with the Rays would reunite him with his 2004 Cubs and 2008 Yankees teammate Kyle Farnsworth. Maybe Farnsy can sweet-talk his old teammate a bit?
Chad Durbin: 4.85 FIP
Moving on to players more in the Rays price range, we come to Chad Durbin. 2011 wasn't especially kind to Mr. Durbin. He managed to put up a 4.85 FIP and -0.3 WAR in 68 innings with Cleveland. Contrary to the opinions of many Clevelanders, he doesn't totally suck. He put up good seasons in 2010 (3.97 FIP) and 2008 (3.77) with Philadelphia. He made just $800k last season and can't expect to get more than that in free agency.
Jon Rauch: 5.26 FIP
Another Toronto reliever, many Rays fans wanted to see Rauch in a Tampa Bay uniform in 2011. Had that happened, it's doubtful Kyle Farnsworth signs, so perhaps things worked out for the best. He was hampered by injuries last season, missing time due to back and knee issues as well as having his appendix removed in August. It was the first time he had missed any significant time in his nine year career. His numbers suffered along with his body as he posted a 5.26 FIP in 52 innings pitched. A healthy Rauch has been a solid late-inning reliever over his career. Hopefully his sub-par 2011 performance and fear over his torn knee cartilage will set the bar low enough for the Rays to snag him.
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Um....
3rd stint for Wheeler? No thanks, seeing as Maddon never used Dan in his most effective use.
by Jacob Larsen on Nov 2, 2011 10:57 AM EDT up reply actions
Didn't he?
I thought he used him like a Roogy
October 28th, 2011-- a date which will live in infamy--
he did... the only issue i ever had with his usage was leverage, but he used him spot-on as far as rh/lh goes.
precisely
Wheeler was sort of criminally misused in Boston, and he still managed to put up a pretty good second half. At a bargain rate, he’d be a great piece to add back to the bullpen.
by AndrewTorrez on Nov 2, 2011 11:48 AM EDT up reply actions
Yeah, that's what I meant
Not so much the ROOGY thing, more about using him in Hi-Lev situations…
by Jacob Larsen on Nov 2, 2011 12:13 PM EDT up reply actions
??? I don't think that's what you meant at all
I’m still not in love with bringing him back but for the most part in his last stint here he was used effectively
Count me in for
Joel Zumaya and Jon Rauch. Back-end of the bullpen would be loaded with 3 dudes that you wouldn’t want to be in the same dark alley with.
Zumaya is a definite sign for me.
I sitll like Blaine Boyer as a ST invite. Career 56% groundball rate and 4.00 FIP with a mid-90s fastball/sinker.
Not a bad idea
Boyer sounds very interesting as well
by Jacob Larsen on Nov 2, 2011 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions
What about..
Ryan Franklin on a minor league deal, might be a good idea to give him a chance to turn around his career.
Would he fit in well
Thats what I wonder…
by Jacob Larsen on Nov 2, 2011 12:14 PM EDT up reply actions
If we are looking at ground ball pitchers,
might it be useful to consider Chad Qualls again? His K rate declined badly but his GB rate stayed high and his BB rate remained good.
I always think that Todd Coffey is a useful reliever near the end of the bullpen. He cost $1.35 million last year.
can we filter
for 2011 RP’s with high BABIP playing in front of crappy defenses, high HR rates and maybe some injury concerns but historically good k and GB rates? that would give us a list of possible bottom-feeder RP prospects to target cheaply.
survey says
Michael Wuertz and Michael Gonzalez
by AndrewTorrez on Nov 2, 2011 11:49 AM EDT up reply actions
Interesting year for RPs
It seems that there’s going to be so many relievers on the market, the price for a good one may go down due to over-abundance.
Draft Pick Compensation
Heard that there may be a lessened compensation, draft pick-wise, for losses of players in the next CBA.
Always a fan of Neshek
Worried about his arm, didn’t he have a shoulder surgery?
by Jacob Larsen on Nov 2, 2011 12:06 PM EDT up reply actions
TJ.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=3697042
hes past the recovery time now, and he should be back to full strength.
The one thing i remember about Shawn Camp is the grand slam HR he gave up to Dioner Navarro a few years back
Nuff said?
Do we really need a thread on a guy who has rarely been used in higher leverage situations?
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
Farnsworth actually was a CL once and spent many stints as a set up (8th inn) guy
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
Pre-Rays
Didn’t he fail miserably in every chance he had as closer?
by Jacob Larsen on Nov 2, 2011 12:40 PM EDT up reply actions
Was he ever a closer with the Cubs?
Or just a SP turned into a RP?
by Jacob Larsen on Nov 2, 2011 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions
read the press-clippings upon his signing. he was considered a guy that did not have the "closer mentality."
he was known for his hr-problems, especially in big spots. obviously camp is no farnsworth, but denigrating him because of one hr and a perception about experience is silly.
Is this thread only focusing on high leverage relievers?
No
by Erik Hahmann on Nov 2, 2011 12:50 PM EDT up reply actions
A high leverage reliever is just a good reliever with a smart manager.
We can’t worry about if someone is “high leverage,” or has been in the past – just if he’s good.
by Whelk on Nov 2, 2011 1:17 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Camp?
Bringing him back would be like getting back together with an old girlfriend you dumped a few years ago….a big mistake.
And that HR was to Gregg Zaun, not Navarro!
Camp doesn’t seem like a bad option. I am not on the Gonzalez bandwagon considering you have McGee to put out fires, either Ramos or the FO’s love JP to play loogy and I am hoping for Alex Torres as a long man. No need for a 4th lefty.
Under construction
Don't waste Torres as a long man.
He’s too good to just Sonnastine without the opportunity to start.
We already have 7 guys who can and should start right now in the majors
Hoping for a Neimann trade and I don’t know what happens with Cobb but I want my Price – Shields – Hellickson – Moore – Davis rotation.
He looked pretty good in his few chances out of the pen and I always saw him becoming a bullpen arm just like I saw with McGee, Torres can be the long man but he can also make nastier pitches and just shut a team down for an inning or 2.
Under construction
Nah, Torres looked awful out of the bullpen.
Sure he was great versus Toronto. But let us not forget the Red Sox and two Yankees games he pitched in. That was pretty rough.
I wasn't saying he can't/won't be a good reliever.
I was just pointing out that he did most certainly not look good out of the bullpen like joey said.
his stuff looked great. he looked like a guy that had no experience in relief making his big league debut. jitters.
+1
Let’s not let one data point bias our perceptions too much
by benderbrodriguez on Nov 2, 2011 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions
Better to keep him in AAA and be the spot starter if somebody goes down.
Keep his arm getting regular work and he still has things he can improve in AAA. Bring him up for the bullpen in September and playoffs, but not for the regular season.
1 pitcher will get moved and I do hope it is Niemann, but they need insurance in AAA, and 2013 one of Price or Shields will need to be replaced.
Guys that have caught my attention
Wuertz, Gonzalez, Neshek, Padilla, Broxton, Zumaya
As for the Torres talk, I predict one of Torres/Archer will be traded along with one of Davis/Niemann.
by BossmanJunior333 on Nov 2, 2011 5:09 PM EDT reply actions
Any other offseason
I think Broxton would be out of the rays price range. However, there are sooo many closers available in free agency that Friedman might get a really good deal on a guy like Broxton who just wants an incentive laden deal to rebuild his value. Could be a few million guarenteed with a few million more in incentives. Rays love those type of players, especially relievers.
I still fear someone will overpay for Zumaya though.
by BossmanJunior333 on Nov 2, 2011 5:41 PM EDT up reply actions
From what I have read so far, just from newspaper reports in Detroit
Most believe Zumaya will be signed to a minor league deal
I think our pen is pretty solid
Farns, Howell, McGee, Davis, Peralta, Gomes, Torres…Howell as loogy or get a loogy. Sign a Corey Wade type for invite and maybe Wuertz and you’re set.
Davis?
Um, I doubt very much that the Rays would’ve signed Wade to a long-term deal to be eventually turned into a reliever.
I'd say no to Davis, Howell, and Torres
Davis and Torres in the pen would be a complete waste of value, especially when both guys are canidates to be traded and have value as starters. Howell will likely be non tendered and only brought back on a minor league deal or if they strike out on relievers in the off season.
Right now the definates are Farnsworth, Peralta, McGee, and Gomes. Depending on what moves they make or who they sign, guys like Ramos, De La Rosa, and Russell are on the bubble. Friedman already said he’d like to add 1-2 arms to the pen this offseason.
by BossmanJunior333 on Nov 2, 2011 9:26 PM EDT up reply actions
I say no to Davis and Howell but yes to Torres
I think a lot of scouts saw him as a future RP since the trade and he can go 2 different ways for us, he can go an inning or 2 and shut the other team down or he can be the guy who gives us distance which makes a guy like Ramos just a loogy.
My pen right now, far away from ST, injuries and trades is Farnsworth, Peralta, McGee, Gomes, Torres, Bush and Ramos
It should be a fight for 2 spots between Bush, Ramos, De La Rosa, Russell and maybe even Neimann if we don’t trade him and we actually break camp with Moore or at least Cobb in the rotation. I like Davis starting, Neimann is so inconsistent, who knows if you will get a star performance or 2 innings of garbage.
Under construction

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