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Prediction

I don't like making predictions about trades, because I always feel silly since I always under or over estimate a player's value to each team involved or miss some crucial factor. But just for fun, and because it is so unlikely and off the radar (so maybe it will be another Friedman stealth attack), here is one.

Rays trade Davis, Colome and Bortnick to the White Sox for Konerko, Flowers and $6 million.

Why the Rays would do it: Although 35, Konerko has been durable and his last few years are right in line with his career numbers. He walks, does not strike out a lot and has power. His splits do not show a problem with righties or outside his home park. Last year his OPS was well over .800 in both cases, and for his career, he has hit very well at Tropicana. His $12 million 2012 salary would be eased by the money, and the $13.5 million commitment in 2013 is actually $6.5 million with the rest spread out over 7 years at $1 million per year.

Although Flowers has been disappointing, he showed some improvement last season (and catchers often develop late) and he has some pop and walks a lot. I read at Sickels that his defense has improved. He has a chance to become an adequate major league catcher or at least a backup.

Why the White Sox would do it: Stuck with Dunn, he could move to 1B where his offense might rebound. They have lost Buehrle and probably Jackson, and Peavy is a question, so there is room in the rotation. Their farm system is weak, and the recent trade of Santos for Molina indicates that Williams wants to improve there as are rumors that he is shopping Danks and Floyd. They would also save a bit of money on Konerko's salary. If, as is reasonable, they do not expect to contend in 2012, it helps the rebuilding.

Why it won't happen: Chicago probably values Konerko much higher, and it is still quite a bit of money for the Rays to commit. Giving up 3 young players for an old first baseman and a probable backup catcher is not typical of Friedman.

This post was written by a member of the DRaysBay community and does not necessarily express the views or opinions of DRaysBay staff.

Comment 9 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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The deferred contract definitely makes it appealing

Makes it a 2 yr/ 18.5M deal which is not that much more than what they gave Burrell. Their farm system is in desperate need for help.

I'm not a fanboy, I'm an awesome dude

by Jason Collette on Dec 10, 2011 9:01 AM EST reply actions  

Wouldn't mind that deal one bit

And Kenny Williams will trade anyone, he also wants Dunn back in the field at 1B so he might actually be looking for a Konerko trade.

Under construction

by joeybw on Dec 10, 2011 12:03 PM EST reply actions  

Yeah, losing Beurhle was prob bad enough

White Sox may get less fan than us if they trade away Konerko also.

Under construction

by joeybw on Dec 10, 2011 3:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Understood,

but if the White Sox become a perennial loser, they will probably lose fans anyway. And if they can rebuild the farm and show progress, it would be worth the initial bad publicity for trading a popular star. One way a team in trouble can improve is by dealing their attractive older talent for good returns; one way to deepen the hole is by holding on to aging stars past their usefulness because they are popular.

Of course, if the White Sox think they are contenders next year or even in 2013, they should hang onto Konerko. But if not, I think they ought to look for the best deal available, and I doubt he becomes more attractive next year. A smart owner/front office cannot cave in to popular opinion when they know it is misguided.

Are you optimistic about the White Sox in the next year or two? They are aging seriously at catcher and 1B, have to be concerned about Beckham, Rios and Dunn, the latter two being expensive until 2014, and have to be nervous about the rotation as well. They are rather ordinary or weak at 3B. With Sale moving to the rotation and Viciedo ready to contribute that pretty much exhausts the talent pool (except in the bullpen), and other than Konerko there is nobody who can be considered an offensive star. Why hold onto your best chance to improve the talent base if the next couple of years have to be rebuilding ones?

Better an enraged fan base in 2012 than a disgusted and bored one for the next 5 years.

by bobr on Dec 10, 2011 4:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Chicago will burn.

this isn't DRB
you don’t get a free pass for acting like a douchebag.
Derp
by Pikachu on Dec 11, 2011 2:44 PM CST up reply actions

by SandalsNoPants on Dec 11, 2011 5:17 PM EST up reply actions  

We can't afford both of them

Talk about improving the offense, though.

Under construction

by joeybw on Dec 11, 2011 5:27 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm not sure that's true.

Quintin is arb3, and he earned $5 mill. last year. He produced a near identical year, so he’s likely due a raise. MLBTR projects him at $6.6 mill. Konerko is due $12 mill this year and $6.5 next year. The White Sox kick in cash. That’s adding $15 mill. or so to payroll, and if need be you trade Upton to make room.

by rglass44 on Dec 12, 2011 10:56 AM EST up reply actions  

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