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A New Caddy?

Caddies are more common in golf, but are rarely heard from in baseball. The most famous baseball caddie to most fans would be Eddie Perez who Maddux preferred to pitch to over Javy Lopez but that is a situation that rarely presents itself in baseball these days except in New York where A.J. Burnett and Jorge Posada had their issues. Yet, after watching James Shields throw a great game last night with Kelly Shoppach behind the plate, one has to wonder if those two will become more attached than Roy Halladay and Carlos Ruiz are.

Star-divide

Unless you were living under a rock last season, you know James Shields had a frustrating season. His baseball card stats show a 5.18 ERA, 34 home runs allowed, and opponents hitting .294 against him while slugging .490. The 8.3 K/9 and 3.7 K/BB are skills of an ace, but the other results clearly were not. All season, pundits looked for reasons why Shields was struggling. How was his BABIP .361 when the rest of the starting staff was around .290? Why was he giving up home runs at a Bert Blyleven rate last season? His box scores were all over the place.

  • Opening Day: 6 IP, 9 hits, 3 solo home runs, 6 strikeouts vs Baltimore
  • April 28th: 7 IP, 6 hits, 1 BB, 12 K's, 1 HR vs Oakland
  • May 4th: 8 IP, 8 hits, 0 BB, 10 K's, 0 HR vs Seattle
  • May 30th: 5.1 IP, 11 hits, 7 runs, 1 BB, 3 K's, 2 HRs vs Chicago
  • June 11th: 3.1 IP, 9 hits, 10 runs, 3 BB, 4 K's, 1 HR vs Florida
  • August 1st: 7.1 IP, 4 hits, 0 runs, 1 BB, 11 K's vs New York
  • August 7th: 4 IP, 9 hits, 8 runs, 4 BB, 2 K's, 6 HRs vs Toronto
  • October 1st: 5 IP, 12 hits, 7 runs, 2 BB, 1 K vs Kansas City

There was a lot of boom or bust with Shields last season and nothing seemed to add up. His velocity was still the same, his pitch mix was still the same, but more of his balls in play were getting through and more of his flyballs were getting out of the yards. Since nothing seemed to be wrong on the mound, the attention shifted behind the plate and the catching situation.

 Last season after the regrettable game in Toronto, I penned an article claiming that the baseball version of eHarmony would never allow Shields and Jaso to meet up. In that article, I showed how Shields' results were dramatically different when throwing to Jaso as compared to Shoppach and Navarro with the caveat of  a small sample size as well as not looking into the strength of schedule of the opponent. The sample size could not be controlled due to Jaso's limited major league time but the quality of opponent was not significant enough as Shields had great games against the Yankees while doing poorly against the Royals and Marlins. When that article was penned in August, it showed that Shields, Garza, and Price had higher ERA's when paired with Jaso while Niemann and Davis both had more success with Jaso behind the plate.

Pitcher

Jaso catching

Other Catching

Garza

5.69

2.95

Niemann

2.92

3.41

Price

3.11

2.67

Davis

3.49

4.79

Shields

6.75

3.32

Team

3.91

3.42

 

Maybe the younger pitchers were more comfortable throwing to the catcher they knew from the minor leagues as Price was only slightly affected with Joyce behind the plate but the veterans were dramatically different statistically. Jaso's defensive issues last season were obvious to those watching the game as he struggled at times blocking pitches and with the running game which matched what scouting reports said about him on his way up. Andy Sonnanstine mentioned at this past Fanfest that Jaso has come a long way from the day when he started catching in the minors and how he looked more like a hockey goalie back then rather than a catcher. Still, both Garza and Shields are guys that like to throw pitches with extreme action down in the zone, especially when they are ahead in counts but with the power of calling the game in the catcher's hand (as is the way with the Rays), that may have been a contributing factor to those results.

The sample size has gotten a little larger since the original article in early August, but here are Shields' results when throwing to the three catchers the club has employed since the start of last season:

CATCHER

FIP

IP

H/9

HR/9

K/BB

LOB%

BABIP

Jaso

4.60

93

12.4

2.0

3.2

69%

.382

Shoppach/Navarro

3.48

117.2

9.3

1.0

4.2

73%

.325

 

The sample size still needs room to grow but this trend still bears watching as the season moves forward. His next start will come at US Cellular park, a park that is awful for home run pitchers and against a lineup that beefed up its thump by adding Adam Dunn this off-season. If Buehrle or Danks is on the mound for the White Sox, the decision is a bit easier but if Jackson or Floyd are toeing the mound and Shoppach is in the lineup with Shields on the bump, baseball may be on its way to having a new caddie. 

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Is this a repost?

Or am I experiencing deja vu? I swear I read this article before…

by nomoredevil on Apr 4, 2011 7:47 AM EDT reply actions  

Wow, look at all the comments

Apparently the initial post didn’t get buried by the GDT; it was just uninteresting.

by nomoredevil on Apr 4, 2011 3:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

As a rule I'm skeptical of cERA, but this difference does seem very extreme.

Last season could have been a fluke, but if we start seeing the same sort of pattern this year, I’ll probably be convinced. I guess the trick is if there’s a difference, why? It may be we can’t answer this, but I’m curious if Jaso and Shoppach call different games with Shields on the mound and/or attack batters differently. Or maybe Shoppach is much better at framing pitches on the corner, which would help someone like Shields that thrives on his command.

I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously.

by Steve Slowinski on Apr 4, 2011 8:21 AM EDT reply actions  

With Jaso being such a productive hitter, note his less than 400 SLG

we can’t afford not having him in there 5x a week

follow me on twitter @sternfan10

by sternfan1 on Apr 4, 2011 8:41 AM EDT reply actions  

And yet he still had a .340 wOBA last season, well above league average.

Even if you expect a drop in his walk rate due to his weak bat, he’s still a league average bat from the catching position. That’s valuable.

I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously.

by Steve Slowinski on Apr 4, 2011 9:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

Jaso is useful

However if you subscribe to the theory behind this post, and also consider his noodle arm, his perceived value is likely overstated. I don’t agree with Stern that he’s a bad ballplayer, but I also don’t think he is a very good one even accounting for position.

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Apr 4, 2011 9:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

I guess it depends how much of a difference you think Jaso has with our staff.

On an individual basis, the difference with Shields is a bit too much to ignore. But for the others and on a staff-wide basis, I’m not convinced yet; I’d want to see some concrete reasons why Jaso calls/runs a different game than Shoppach first. Right now, we’ve got the stats and we’ve got a hypothesis, but I’m hesitant to draw sweeping conclusions from piecemeal data unless we’ve got some solid scouting/pitch fx reasons to back us up.

I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously.

by Steve Slowinski on Apr 4, 2011 9:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

It's too inconsistent to check at this point IMO

Plus I’m not sure I’d buy Jaso being the reason for Shields leaving pitches up in the zone. OneTonneBaby’s theory below would really only apply when there are runners on base, and he allowed more solo HRs (4% of plate appearances) than with men on (3.4% of plate appearances). His K/BB was better (4.28 to 3.08) with none on but I’m not sure that’s unusual. His splits with runners on vs. Shoppach compared to vs. Jaso would be interesting but that data isn’t out there.

Vroom vroom party starter
www.raysprospects.com

by Imperialism32 on Apr 4, 2011 10:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don't disagree

I don’t think either Jaso or Shopp is a set the world on fire backstop, gamecalling aside. Its been a knock throughout his minor league career, so I don’t think its a poor assumption.

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Apr 4, 2011 11:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think its definately a factor

If a pitcher has confidence in his catcher he can throw what he wants not having to worry about if a catcher is going to get behind it. As you say, in shields case his best pitch is the change low. If there are runners on and Jaso behind the plate in the back of Shields mind must be that a ball in the dirt may skip past Jaso and so he leaves it up a bit.

by OneTonneBaby on Apr 4, 2011 9:02 AM EDT reply actions  

I somehow thought this was going to be about

Manny hanging out at Caddy’s yesterday after the game.

by BOHICA_ALEast on Apr 4, 2011 9:37 AM EDT reply actions  

Saw caddy and thought this was a golf post or talking about #24.

Disappointed.

As you can always expect come from behind victory is when you least expect it.

by Buc Wild on Apr 4, 2011 11:52 AM EDT reply actions  

BUC WILD!

Aye, business is business and money is money i never said we were friends.

by 4QB on Apr 4, 2011 8:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

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