Monday Morning Rays Wrap Up: Welcome Back Mr. Longoria
The Rays have survived the month of April. They have successfully overcome their 1-8 start, the oblique injury to Evan Longoria, the Manny Ramirez debacle, the sluggish offense, and the uncertainty of the new bullpen. Although it is a great accomplishment to roar back to have a winning record by the end of April, the Rays season will not be defined by clearing the hurdle of the aforementioned obstacles, they will be defined by being a contender late into the season and hopefully being a post-season candidate again. Currently the Rays offense ranks 10th in the AL with a .239 batting average, 12th with a .300 on base percentage, and 7th with a .391 slugging percentage. On a more positive note, the offense ranks 6th in the AL in runs per game at 4.26 and a very respectable +15 in run differential (120 run scored - 105 runs against). The offense will receive a big boost with the return of Evan Longoria from the disabled list on Tuesday. Not only will the offense receive a much needed middle of the order bat, the pitching staff will benefit from having his glove back at third base.
The Rays finished another successful week by posting a 4-2 record including a sweep over an undermanned Minnesota Twins team. Unfortunately, the Rays week ended on a sour note by losing two out of three to the LA Angels including a game started by David Price and a 5-0 lead wasted by Alex Cobb making his first debut. The series lost to the Angels broke a string of five straight series wins.
Notes from the Weeks Games:
- Several Rays had outstanding weeks entering Sunday's games: Ben Zobrist (.476/.478/1.048), Matt Joyce (.438/.500/.875), B.J. Upton (.316/.435/.526), and Casey Kotchman (.412/.412/.647).
- Several Rays had not-so-productive weeks entering Sunday's games: Sam Fuld (.053/.250/.105), Reid Brignac (.143/200/.143), and Felipe Lopez (.182/.250/.182).
- The Rays will most likely bring up a reliever on Tuesday to replace Alex Cobb and a corresponding roster move will have to be made when Evan Longoria is activated. The roster move when Longoria comes back has been well debated and it appears to come down to Felipe Lopez or Elliot Johnson, but could also involve Dan Johnson being sent to the 15-day DL as he has been battling a wrist problem.
- The pitching staff continued to be the focal point of the Rays. After a down 2010 season, James Shields continues to pitch like the ACE of the pitching staff and along with David Price give the Rays a nice 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation.
- Kyle Farnsworth has pitched very well in the closer's role and the rest of the bullpen has performed, but the future addition of J.P. Howell will only strengthen it.
- Which reliever will be called up on Tuesday to replace Alex Cobb?
- Sam Fuld has struggled recently. Will Joe Maddon continue to put him in the leadoff spot? Or will we see a return to the alternating leadoff man which will include Fuld against righties and B.J. Upton against left handed pitchers?
- Will Matt Joyce get a chance to play everyday and prove that he can or can't hit left handed pitching.
- Will Casey Kotchman continue to get most of the starts at 1B or will Dan Johnson (if not on the DL) begin to see more time in order to try and get his bat going?
- Who will be the first position player to be called up from Durham and who will be the odd man out in Tampa? When is the earliest we could see a non-injury move to the roster?
After an impressive 2-0 complete game victory by James Shields over the Toronto Blue Jays last Sunday, the Rays traveled to Minneapolis for a three game series against the Twins. The Rays had a scheduled off day on Monday and their game Tuesday was snowed/rained out. Even with poor weather in the immediate forecast, the decision was made to play a day night doubleheader on Thursday rather than make the game up on the Rays next trip to Minnesota on July 4th through July 6th when the weather would be considerably better.
On Wednesday, the Rays offense jumped on Twins starter Francisco Liriano with 4 runs in the first inning keyed by a two-RBI triple by Ben Zobrist. The 4 runs were all that Wade Davis would need as he only gave up 1 run in 6.2 innings and Cesar Ramos, Joel Peralta, and Andy Sonnanstine worked a scoreless final 2.2 innings and the Rays won 8-2. Ben Zobrist went 1-4 with a 2-RBI triple and a sacrifice fly giving him 3 RBI on the day, but Zobrist was just getting warmed up.
On Thursday afternoon, the Rays battered Twins starter Nick Blackburn to the tune of 8 runs (7 earned) in 3.1 innings and added 8 more runs on the Twins bullpen on their way to a 15-3 victory. Jeremy Hellickson gave up 3 runs in 6.1 innings and the Rays bullpen was once again sharp in pitching 2.2 scoreless innings.Ben Zobrist led the charge by going 4-6 with a home run, two doubles, and 8 RBIs.
On Thursday night, the Rays faced spot starter Anthony Swarzak and took advantage of him early with 2 runs in the second inning thanks to another home run by Ben Zobrist. Jeff Niemann carried a no-hitter into the 7th inning before giving up his only 2 hits and only run on the day. The bullpen worked the final two innings and the Rays finished the three game sweep over the Twins with a 6-1 victory. The story of the day was Ben Zobrist, between the two games he went 7-10 with 2 HR, 3 doubles, and 10 RBIs.
On Friday, David Price was spotted to a 4-1 lead against the LA Angels after 3 innings but quickly gave the lead back in the top of the fourth. The Rays bullpen was unable to hold the Angels offense down and the Rays bats were unable to regain the lead. The Rays lost the game 8-5.
On Saturday, James Shields gave the Rays another strong outing by working into the ninth in a 1-0 game before giving way to Kyle Farnsworth who gave up the game tying run. The Rays won the game in the bottom of the tenth when Fernando Rodney uncorked a wild pitch allowing Matt Joyce to score the organizations first ever wild-pitch walk off win.
Alex Cobb made his major league debut on Sunday and despite being handed a 5-0 lead after the first inning was unable to get through five innings. Cobb worked 4.1 innings, walking four and striking out three, before leaving with one out and runners at first and third. Andy Sonnanstine immediately walked Ray killer Howie Kendrick to load the bases before giving up a sacrifice fly to Torri Hunter. Another run scored on an errant throw by John Jaso on a stolen base attempt. Alberto Callapso singled in the tying run before being thrown out trying to stretch the single into a double. The Angels scored the winning run on a ground ball to Ben Zobrist who turned an unconventional double play which allowed the go ahead run to score.
The Rays will enter this week with a 15-13 record, 2.5 games behind the New York Yankees. The Rays will have an off day Monday before taking on the Toronto Blue Jays at Tropicana Field Tues through Thursday and heading to Baltimore for a three game series Friday through Sunday. The pitching match-ups for the Blue Jays series are Jo Jo Reyes vs Wade Davis, Brandon Morrow vs Jeremy Hellickson, and Ricky Romero vs Jeff Niemann. The Baltimore series will feature David Price vs Zach Britton, James Shields vs Jeremy Guthrie, and Brad Bergersen vs Wade Davis.
In other AL East action, the Yankees will play a 4 game series in Detroit and a weekend series against the Rangers in Texas. After the Blue Jays are done in Tampa they return home for a weekend series against the Tigers. The Orioles are in Kansas City prior to their series with the Rays. The Red Sox host the LA Angels for 4 games and the Minnesota Twins.
The Rays have won 14 of 18 games and 5 of their last 6 series, is that enough for SF1 to overcome the emotions of a poor weekend performance against the Angels?
Some might be happy with a 4-2 week that saw a sweep of the injury plagued AAA-like Twins, a winning April after a 1-8 start, and within shouting distance in the ALE. I am not.
With our ace on the bump and staked to a 4-1 lead we watched as David Price and the pen turn it into a 8-5 loss. On Sunday we're throwing a sacrificial lamb Alex Cobb in his first MLB start against Jeff Weaver. But as Rays luck would have it, Weaver is scratched and we rough up Tyler Chatwood for a 5-0 lead. Cobb who typical Ray's apologists tweeted had a 'good first start' was awful, giving it all back, and of course we never score again and lose 6-5
The solution for me is three fold. Felipe Lopez (gone) Longo returns Tuesday. John Jaso and Reid Brignac need to be replaced. Sean Rodriguez should become the every day short stop and Jose (Sanchie) Lobaton recalled to take Jaso's spot. You can't have a catcher who is so bad at blocking balls that a pitcher has to change his pitch sequence. Besides neither Jaso or Brignac can hit their hat size./p>
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The Rays and specifically Maddon need to get their best bats in the line up more often
This means allowing Sean Rodriguez to play SS every day as i mention and allowing Matt Joyce to play against most LHP. How will we ever know if Joyce is anevery day player if not given the chance.
With SeanRod, it’s simply replacing a non existent bat (Brignac) with someone who mashes LHP and at least has a chance v RHP
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
I like sean and his upside as much as anyone else but god damn when will you learn that he's just an awful awful hitter right now against lefties and righties alike
Strikes out in over 30% of his career PA against lefties ohyeahhhh
by benderbrodriguez on May 2, 2011 3:01 PM EDT up reply actions
seriously, stop pretending sean rodriguez is even better than brignac against right handed hitting.
I am in favor of a platoon at short, but Rodriguez is even worse against righties than Brignac is, not to mention Briggy’s superior defense.
@ptSuttery
Rodriguez against RHP: 393 ABs, .627 OPS, .283 wOBA
Brignac against RHP: 385 ABs, .708 OPS, .308 wOBA
We just have to accept the fact that we won’t get a lot of offense out of the short stop position.
@ptSuttery
Sean Rod v LHP 419/519/818
seriously, stop pretending sean rodriguez is even better than brignac against right handed hitting.
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
sorry, right handed pitching.
Did you miss the part where I agreed that Sean Rodriguez and Reid Brignac should be in a platoon?
Playing Rodriguez against RHP is dumb.
@ptSuttery
If Brignac mashed RHP i'd agree, but he has nothing, no power no XBH--nothing
no ability to draw BB
At least while S-Rod has his problems with tough RHP he still has the ability get on base and maybe once a game impact a game with a HR or 2B
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
using your great sample size from above -
SRod vs RHP this year 088/184/235
Brignac hits better against RHP than Sean Rodriguez does.
It’s a fact, simple as that.
They both have nearly 400 ABs against RHP throughout their careers to show for it. Even with Brignac’s horrid offensive start to the year, he’s still out hit Rodriguez against RHP.
It has nothing to do with “tough RHP.” Rodriguez doesn’t hit RHP, period.
I do want him in the lineup against LHP and I wouldn’t mind it being at short.
@ptSuttery
He's never been given a chance to play v RHP on a regular basis
His minor league numbers v them are very good
Brignac on the other hand has really never hit outside of one good year at AA
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
And he's not going to get the chance this year because it will damage our chances if he fails.
400 ABs is a pretty good sample size, though.
Brignac is pretty close to what Bartlett was giving the Twins’ with his bat. Considering his glove plays better at short than Rodriguez’ glove and it’s the most important defensive position on the field, he’s the better option on the strong side of a platoon.
@ptSuttery
I totally disagree with you
1- you disregard Sean Rod’s minor league numbers v RHP
2- Unless Brignac is Omar with his glove (he ain’t) he doesn’t play
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
Isn't that what RJ & Co have based their entire argument
as voting FOR Dan Jo’s PT?
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
Dan also had a very decent second half in 2010 for the Rays.
Triple A Durham is also very different from the Pacific Coast League.
@ptSuttery
1) His numbers are blown out of proportion because of the park and league he played in.
Take a look at Brandon Wood’s career with the Angels. He put up remarkably similar numbers to Rodriguez in the same system at the same age with a greater degree of pedigree and couldn’t replicate it at the major league level despite copious chances. I am pleased with Sean Rodriguez murdering LHP and playing slightly above average defense.
2) I think Briggy’s pretty fantastic with the glove. Is he Omar Vizquel or Ozzie Smith? Probably not. But, remember what Bartlett did in 2008 for us: barely a 2 win season, a below average bat with slightly above average defense. That’s all we need from Briggy.
@ptSuttery
Roddy's defense is more than just slightly above average
Dude is slick with the glove
by benderbrodriguez on May 2, 2011 8:25 PM EDT up reply actions
Concerning:
Which reliever will be called up on Tuesday to replace Alex Cobb?
I’ve heard Brandon Gomes has already earned the call.
A DRaysBay and FanGraphs writer from Cubs Stats and Twitter @BradleyWoodrum
Nice, let's take a look!
I believe the three candidates I had in my head were Delaney, Gomes, and Bush because I believe they are on the 40 man. Bush obviously isn’t going to get the call just yet. Nice to see a third component of the Bartlett trade up in the bigs by early May. Nice.
Are we making sure to check our box scores/standings...
Let’s relax on beating on poor Alex Cobb for a minute, and go back to his actual line. He struck out 3, not 4, and gave up just four earned; not exactly “giving it all away” in his start or as you redundantly dubbed it his “first debut”. Sonnanstine allowed two inherited runners to touch home before allowing one of his own.
After the loss we dropped to 15-13***. And don’t Casey Kotchman and Elliot Johnson count as Durham call-ups? I guess these things are just minor details.
I thought a bigger story from the weekend series was how Maddon used 14 pitchers to get just one win. Joe might be getting a little too cutesy with the pen. After the first reliever was used on Friday (Cruz for Price in the fifth), literally every time one of our relievers entered the game with runners on, they charged a run or two to their predecessor’s stat sheet.
I didn’t care too much for the defense either. Apparently they think it is OK to regularly launch a ball into centerfield with men on base. And then there’s Zobrist’s mental snafu that should’ve been an inning-ending double-play but instead gave the Angels their game-wining run yesterday.
Jordan Wisecup
http://madraysfan.blogspot.com/
Whoa, reading that back, I definitely came off as a dick. My apologies.
My emotions ran high there. I was in house yesterday, and my heart went out to Cobb. It was tough watching him 37 balls of his 74 total pitches. The kid has had some command issues but I am willing to give him the benefit of the doubt here. He was probably nervous. And maybe his body patterns were a tad off as he hadn’t pitched in 7 days.
Jordan Wisecup
http://madraysfan.blogspot.com/
by Jordan Wisecup on May 2, 2011 5:52 PM EDT up reply actions
You only have one chance at making a good first impression
Maddon and the pen hasn’t changed from year to year
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
Yea, I guess I've never been a fan of Maddon's use of the bullpen.
But the personnel is significantly different this season.
Jordan Wisecup
http://madraysfan.blogspot.com/
by Jordan Wisecup on May 2, 2011 6:38 PM EDT up reply actions
hey Jordan
no problem, I was a little distracted writing last night and appreciate the catching of the errors. You can probably bet I was doing the last paragraph around 10:30 to 11:30 last night.
Describing Zobo's
play as a mental snafu is incorrect . A baserunner is taught to avoid a tag and get into a run down or pickle to advance another baserunner. That is what happened on that play. If you don’t believe me then ask someone that has played the game professionally.Don’t torture yourself with misinformed thoughts. Learn the game and enjoy it.
Yea... Except
The fact that he was about 10 yds from the baserunner and should have deduced that no Mike Scioscia-managed player is willing going to run into an out. With only one out, it would have been more reasonable to try a shovel pass to second and get batter-runner-catcher -slow running Hank Conger on the turn. Again, as I was at the game, this was not a "misinformed thought "or something based off a tele-cast but my instinctual reaction.
It was a mental error by a pretty reliable fielder. My beer league softball buddies would have aptitude for this one. Professionals need not apply.
Jordan Wisecup
http://madraysfan.blogspot.com/
by Jordan Wisecup on May 2, 2011 6:34 PM EDT up reply actions
The play is not as cut and dry
as you think. The ball was a slow grounder.A toss to second would result in a man out at second and safe at first. Zobo got the double play and ended the inning. Zobo has professional instincts.Leave your critique for a more obvious situation.
Got the double play at the expense of giving up the game-winning run.***
You’re resigned to the fact that Brignac couldn’t have turned two on HANK CONGER. This is a guy who hasn’t stolen a base (at any level) since 2009.
Zobrist’s instincts are without question, but he saw the guy coming from first and got derailed. The play should have been a predetermined throw to second.
I even gave you the benefit of the doubt and just re-watched the play on my DVR three times. He gets the ball on two or three hops, well on the dirt of the infield and preceded to chase the retreating Vernon Wells for a solid 6-7 yds and still has time to gun down your boy Conger. Had he squared his body towards second and flipped it to Reid, they would have gotten a twin-killing while maintaining the force and not giving up the run. So leave your critique of my critique in the trash heap. Boo-yah!
Jordan Wisecup
http://madraysfan.blogspot.com/
by Jordan Wisecup on May 2, 2011 7:21 PM EDT up reply actions
calling it a mental snafu
isn’t exactly misinformed. In my opinion the game situation dictated going for the double play with the catcher running.
Also
I think Elliot Johnson made the opening day roster so he doesn’t count and Casey Kotchman was a “sort-of” injury related callup (Manny Drug Test/Retirement). Was trying to get some discussion of some of the minor leaguers on the offday…looking for who people thought would be the first guy to come up and be asked to help this team not fill in for an injury.
A couple thoughts i left out
1- I love how the DRB community which i’m a part of have their favorites, and come hell or high water stick by. Jaso, Brignac
2- Can Matt Joyce ever realize his full potential when he’s pretty much a platoon player?
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
So you're telling me the Rays play him as much as Markakis then, right?
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
Markakis has played 26 games this season, the same as Joyce, so... yes?
They’ve already said they want him to play more against LHP.
@ptSuttery
Seriously. Joyce has not started 26/28 games
Looks like he’s only started 22 time, and accumulated PA over his other 4 games that he came in after the start.
HOWEVER, SF1, a small portion of the PA difference is that Markakis bats 2nd in the order (at least some nights). Joyce will never see as many PA as Markakis if that keeps up.
GO RAYS!
by SandalsNoPants on May 2, 2011 11:00 PM EDT up reply actions
How is this embarassing myself?
That’s a whopping 20 more plate appearances. It’s hardly anything to get worked up about.
@ptSuttery
If 20 plate appearances are somehow the difference between Joyce hitting LHP or not, you can fuck me in the face.
@ptSuttery
it's actually 23 PA, projected over a 162 game schedule that transltes into Markakis getting 133 more PA than Joyce
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
Markakis has less of a platoon split which sounds great, but for a low payroll team you're better off rolling with guys that have wide platoon splits because there is no
shame in sitting a lefty against lefties. It’s 2011 and “old school” morons still can’t wrap their brains around the benefit of a platoon.
@SandyKazmir Die or Ride, You Decide
Concerning Jaso:
I think whoever wrote about replacing Jaso with Labaton is being a tad over anxious. Over his past three games, Jaso has gotten 2 hits each game including 3 doubles and a homerun. I think that at least earns him a spot on the team for the next two weeks. Also he is batting .245 in 53 ABs which isn’t good but certainly at least average for a catcher. Although I do understand that his defense is a problem but Jaso is really the only major league capable offensive catcher we have(Shoppach is batting .149 in 47 ABs). So if anyone should be replaced by Labaton or Chirinos it should be Shoppach. Also we should remember that 45-55 ABs is not a reasonable sample size to demote a catcher, particularly this early in the year.
BTW in case anyone wants to know, according to Yahoo the average AVG for a catcher is .247
Lobaton has absolutely no upside with the bat, so I'd rather gamble on Jaso's bat at least recovering slightly.
Shoppach so far has played well behind the plate. I think his bat will turn around against lefties.
@ptSuttery
You might be right about Shoppach...
But I think the catching duo of the future for the Rays is Jaso/Chirinos
Unless he's traded at the deadline, Shoppach will be here for the season.
They won’t cut or demote him.
@ptSuttery
I know which sucks...
But they may decide to cut him in July if he is still doing so terrible but only if the Rays are playing competitively.
Until Chirinos starts hitting the ball, I don't think Shoppach has much to be worried about.
Particularly when he seems to have good chemistry with Shields.
@ptSuttery
Maddon showed his biggest fault.
Sonnanstine is the worst pitcher on the team, and Maddon put him in the toughest situation. Why not go with a better reliever, then have Sonny go a few innings?
I'm sure you're right
even if Cobb had gone 7 IP with a PC around 90-95, he’d have brought Sonny in for the 8th
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
Sorry, I should probably rephrase.
The plan was always for Sonny to enter the game if Cobb struggled. That’s why they decided not to start Sonny in the first place.
I would prefer to use your high leverage relievers in high leverage spots, but we saw in 2009 with Howell that Maddon doesn’t necessarily agree. It’s a blind spot in his management style, but no one’s perfect.
@ptSuttery
Thiswas my biggest managerial issue
Bring in a top arm to put out the fire. Then let Sonny sling some low lev innings with a 5-1 lead.
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
yep, don't understand why it's not more prevalant.
reliever roles are so fucking overstated.
@ptSuttery
Poor Joe
One week he gets 1000 votes from DRB as the best manager in the AL East.The next week he is a bum. LOL
It's okay to call him out when he makes a mistake.
This site is about analyzing your own navel.
@ptSuttery

























