The Rays and Situational Hitting

If the team is doing so poorly getting on base, does it not behoove them to do a better job hitting with men on to marginalized that team inefficiency?

They are currently compounding their problem and relying on 2 guys to do the work, one of which is performing at an unsustainable level (Joyce).

Kotchman also has to be more of a run producer as an everyday player. Last night was just his fifth RBI with RISP and that trails Brignac by one who has done that in half of the situational plate appearances.

all the cute little advanced stat terms B-ref, FG, Statcorner has, but the bottom line is this team is putrid on offense

Going into last night, we scored 2 R or less 36% of the time, and in the last seven games we scored more than 3 twice, and guess what we’re 2-5

Prospect for prospect trades are more rare than a Reid Brignac extra base hit. They simply do not happen.

You guys have inspired me to start a #MagicofKotch RBI count on twitter. It’ll be easy to track his improvement 1 RBI at a time.

Obviously he’ll get it together, but if I recall both errors had a big impact on both games?

Will make my #MagicofKotch RBI count & #MagicofKotch drum beat happen more often.

Bringing up spot in the lineup is not a good thing for your side here buddy.

2- Maybe a shitty 1b, but Kotch is a defensive stud, remember?

The play was right in front of him — even Clew Haywood in Major League made that play closer and he was a goddamn pitcher in real life.

if it isn’t that much I’d rather take a flyer on him than a guy that just got beat out by Xavier Nady and Juan Miranda.

I would rather have seen a bunt

also i’ve been keeping an eye on Chirinos—hitting over 300 last 10 games but w/o XBH

We really are going to need the pitching staff to carry us through the next month. Longoria getting hot will help too.

but he should be behind both against righties. He looks almost worse than Reid out there against RHP.

Just from the offensive standpoint. Opinions are fine — but we back them up with data around here.

So far this season, he has 53 PA’s vs RHP and has a slash line of .106/.192/.255 with 4 walks and 14 K’s, which is the worst line of all AL middle infielders with at least 50 PAs
 
For his carer, he’s at .212/.267/.357 with a 1:6 walk to strikeout rate.

That’s a 73% fail rate just getting on base against RHP; any gains would only come in the ability to hit XBH on the occasion that Rodriguez ran into one. In 446 plate appearances against RHP, he has 33 extra base hits; he has 23 XBH in 208 less PA’s vs LHP.

Moore is already up to #2 in K’s in the minors, he is unstoppable.

I wouldn’t mind seeing Lee/Beckham working up the middle for Montgomery.

Win these next 2, guys

Only he looks much worse with it.

Then again, it’s probably not fair to compare guys to Hellickson.

It’s why I didn’t focus on getting on base in that part because unless you’re walking with the bases loaded, it doesn’t matter. I made sure I included the good Kotchman news first to try to avoid the Pandora’ box nature I knew would arise if I dared mention him in anything but a positive light, but it did not matter.

I could live with what he was doing if he were hitting where Mientkiewicz or Kotsay did as they played first base, but now he’s being asked to hit 6th which is a run-producing position

If you want to project RBI’s moving forward for 6-8 hitters:

(0.63 x games played x team obp) + (0.27 x ind total bases) + (.25 x HR) – (.191x games played)

(0.63 × 36 × .308) + (.27 × 43) + (.25 × 1) – (.191 × 36) = 55

He has 8 thus far, leaving 47 for the rest of the way. 55 RBI from a 1B, hitting in the 6 hole, is a problem when the guys behind him are functionally worse as hitters right now.

Please give this another sniff test because it doesn’t “smell of agenda”; I laid out my intentions of this story right from the get-go.