FanPost

When It's OK To Use a Small Sample Size

Before i start let's make a few things very clear. This is not an endorsement of Casey Kotchman, whom has become a polarizing firgure in this community. Nor is it a slam on Evan Longoria, who i think is one of MLB's elite players. The intent here is to show how when it comes to Kotchman basic rules of evaluation need not apply.

 

Since i started posting here in the spring of 2008 and learned how to navigate B-Ref and some of the other sites, i have always been harshly criticized for 'selective dates', last 'x' amount of games and the like, and i can understand why that criticism has some merit.

 

Another fact i was told when i would trash on Gabe Gross for his lack of power from a corner OFer was i was thinking 'old school' and it wasn't necessary to get power from all the corners anymore.

 

Now let's get on with it. I have read repeatedly in the last few days, of Kotchman's 'last 40 PA' which by the way read 324/343/324, mostly how bad they were and how eventually he would fail. And of course the lack of power he brings as a first baseman, where you have to have power, never mind that Ben Zobrist who is primarily a second baseman is in the top ten in HR and third in doubles in the AL.

 

All the while this "Kotchman watch" has taken place, not a peep on Evan Longoria and his last ten games or forty PA, which read158/256/237. So again i ask you is this fair, and if so exactly why?  All i'm looking for is consistency here. Again not an endorsement for Kotchman or a slam on Longoria

 

And please don't shoot the messenger.

This post was written by a member of the DRaysBay community and does not necessarily express the views or opinions of DRaysBay staff.

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