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Dare to Dream About the Rays and Playoffs?

Just when I thought I was out, they pull me back in. Sam Fuld and the Rays gave me a subtle reminder that in baseball anything can happen. Even in the face of looking at Cool Standings and seeing the Rays with a 2.3% chance at the wild card, I find myself hoping for a fantastic 45 game run that somehow has the Rays playing baseball in October.

Am I dreaming? Of course. But as Jim Valvano said in his classic Arthur Ashe Award speech: "Be a dreamer. If you don't know how to dream, you're dead." On August 12, 1978, the Yankees were 8 games behind the Boston Red Sox with a record of 65-50 and were given a 5.2% chance of making the playoffs.That Yankees team went on to win the AL East crown with a record of 100-63 (which included a 1-game playoff victory in Fenway Park) en route to winning the World Series.

A friend of mine once told me that good teams hang around and just keep playing until they are told not to. Could the Rays somehow pull all facets of their game together and go on a magical run? Is it foolish to dream? A few Friday talking points:

  • The offense has been much more productive (almost a run a game more) with Desmond Jennings in the lineup.
  • Matt Joyce, Ben Zobrist, Evan Longoria, and B.J. Upton are a formidable group of hitters who have yet to get hot at the same time this year.
  • The rotation with James Shields, David Price, and Jeremy Hellickson at the top can easily get on a roll to carry the team.
  • The weakest part of the team appears to be the bullpen (or the failpen as dubbed by Steve Slowinski). If the Rays were to draw close in the wild card race, might the Rays promote Matt Moore to fill a role like David Price in 2008?
  • The Rays are in a good waiver position. Will Andrew Friedman attempt to bolster the failpen by acquiring an arm?
  • Is there a point where Andrew Friedman decides not to look at bolstering the team and looks to move players and play out the string?
  • Who from the minors could be the biggest spark to the Rays if they were to make a run? Matt Bush? Matt Moore? Russ Canzler? Or dare I say it... The Great Pumpkin (now there's a story line!).
  • And of course, the obligatory Casey Kotchman question: Will he win the AL Batting Crown?
Poll
Which statement best describes the remainder of the 2011 season for the Rays?
The Rays will finish around 85 wins and battle Toronto for 3rd place.
94 votes
The Rays will push the Yankees for the Wild Card, drawing within a few games before time runs out.
160 votes
The Rays will defy the odds and overtake the Yankees and win the Wild Card.
64 votes
It is nonsense to even think about playoffs, this team is toast.
23 votes

341 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 39 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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^^^^^^

Stole that high-grade weed in Pt. Charlotte

I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______

by Jason Collette on Aug 12, 2011 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Hey Now

I may be guilty of that more than anyone. A little juiced up by the 4 game sweep and the comeback with Fuld.

by MrNegative1 on Aug 12, 2011 10:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

I will never give up hope as long as the Rays are still mathmatically alive...

and Bossman is still wearing Rays gear.

RaysRev.com or m_weber on twitter

by Rays_Rev on Aug 12, 2011 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

Looking at this from a UK perspective

Its kinda odd how, because baseball is a stat a numbers dominated, people kinda give up and assign percentages to playoff chances. Take the Premier League (soccer) for example…unless a team is mathamatically out of the title race no one murmours not making it.

I still think we have a chance and if the Rays get hot and the Yanks and Angels get cold then who knows. It should be fun.

by OneTonneBaby on Aug 12, 2011 10:32 AM EDT reply actions  

All I read was:

Looking at this from a UK perspective,

soccersoccersoccersoccersoccersoccerriotsbadteethuglywomenmoreriotssoccersoccersoccersoccersoccersoccersoccersoccersoccersoccersoccersoccer

@RealNolenBailey

by Hatfield on Aug 12, 2011 10:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

You forgot to mention Top Gear

Proof Matthan admitted he was wrong: http://www.draysbay.com/2011/3/18/2058018/ottotd-for-3-18-2011-thursday-night-t-v#61697767

by kericr on Aug 12, 2011 10:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

And Monty Python.

Proof Matthan admitted he was wrong: http://www.draysbay.com/2011/3/18/2058018/ottotd-for-3-18-2011-thursday-night-t-v#61697767

by kericr on Aug 12, 2011 10:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

This series is huge. Must take 2 of 3, almost need to sweep. Then we can all go into hibernation until 9 games to go.

If we are within 4, then it is on like donkey kong. If not, see you in March.

I thank Draysbay for proving that Loose Change fanatics exist in mainstream America, and more importantly for Chik-fil-A spicy chicken recommendations. My life is forever changed

by matthan on Aug 12, 2011 10:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

We will have to sweep them in this series to have a legitimate chance to pull off a big comeback

With our improvement in offense since deezy arrived, I say that it could be done. 5.5 games out with 42 games left is very possible

A-rod's salary? 30 Million, Evan Longoria's? 1M, god i love life as a rays fan

by RaysOfHope on Aug 12, 2011 10:36 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

It is a longshot, but we control our own destiny. And as a fan, that is what makes it exciting.

If we can get to say 4 back with 9 to go, and 6 vs the Yankees…then we have a punchers shot. Sure it is a long shot, but at least we will control. All of us will tune in to that first game of the series, and if we win that then we move on to the next game. If not, then here comes the football season. But at least we will have the chance. If we dominate the Yanks on the field, then we can still make it. The tide can turn really quick with head to head games.

I thank Draysbay for proving that Loose Change fanatics exist in mainstream America, and more importantly for Chik-fil-A spicy chicken recommendations. My life is forever changed

by matthan on Aug 12, 2011 10:45 AM EDT reply actions  

This is 2009 all over again.

Don’t get your hopes up.

@ptSuttery

by Suttree on Aug 12, 2011 10:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

When we still have a chance

We can still dream

A-rod's salary? 30 Million, Evan Longoria's? 1M, god i love life as a rays fan

by RaysOfHope on Aug 12, 2011 10:50 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

My hopes are not up, and it isn't that I think we will make it.

The point is we can still have important games. Being 3 out with 3 to go is a huge climb. But if that happens at least we have a game we can watch that actually means something.

I thank Draysbay for proving that Loose Change fanatics exist in mainstream America, and more importantly for Chik-fil-A spicy chicken recommendations. My life is forever changed

by matthan on Aug 12, 2011 10:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

For what it's worth....we have 19 games left against the Yanks and Sox.

If we dominate those games, then who knows? It’d have to be a crazy run, but it is technically possible.

I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously. -- @steveslow

by Steve Slowinski on Aug 12, 2011 10:50 AM EDT reply actions  

One or two injuries to the top of that Red Sox rotation and they look very different.

And eventually Granderson has to become Granderson again. And meanwhile, the Yanks have no less than 8 guys on the DL. Who knows? There’s still a chance.

A DRaysBay and FanGraphs writer from Cubs Stats and Twitter @BradleyWoodrum

by BWoodrum on Aug 12, 2011 10:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

Hughes and Garcia this weekend? Yes please.

I’m really hoping the Rays take advantage of that. Also, I’ll be there on Saturday so I’m doubly hoping for it.

I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously. -- @steveslow

by Steve Slowinski on Aug 12, 2011 11:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

"You guys"

I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously. -- @steveslow

by Steve Slowinski on Aug 12, 2011 11:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yup, agreed. But technically speaking, that doesn't mean we just accept the status quo as the new normal.

His projection puts him at a .267 ISO. That’s wild, but not his .300+ iso that he’s got right now. But it’s still way higher than he’s posted any season coming into this year.

I tend to think he’s just a stud that is finally starting to live up to his potential. This is a bit extreme, but still, he’s a helluva player.

I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously. -- @steveslow

by Steve Slowinski on Aug 12, 2011 11:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yaaaarp

He really good.

I do this for free

by SRQman on Aug 12, 2011 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

We just have to dominate the Yankees. Basically probably go 7-2 vs them in our remaining games

And probably have to sweep the final weekend.

I thank Draysbay for proving that Loose Change fanatics exist in mainstream America, and more importantly for Chik-fil-A spicy chicken recommendations. My life is forever changed

by matthan on Aug 12, 2011 10:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

They can still play .500 ball from here on out and get in

Rays have to win these H2H and hope for a lot of help

I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______

by Jason Collette on Aug 12, 2011 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

Look if you don't think the Rays can go undefeated the rest of the year then you're not a real fan

If you can't say something to someone's face then it's not worthy of being said behind their back.

by Sandy Kazmir on Aug 12, 2011 11:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

bet we beat CC

and get dominated by the other two

by OneTonneBaby on Aug 12, 2011 11:08 AM EDT reply actions  

Crush Hughes, get dominated by CC and Garcia

If you can't say something to someone's face then it's not worthy of being said behind their back.

by Sandy Kazmir on Aug 12, 2011 11:13 AM EDT up reply actions  

I hate the Red Sox games

Can we trade them in for all Yankee games? Let the Sox have the division and find a way to steal this wild card. It starts with a tall lefty that was supposed to be our ace, the same guy who had a couple of classic match ups with Sabathia last season. Come on, David, you are our #4 right now, you can’t let that happen.

Under construction

by joeybw on Aug 12, 2011 11:21 AM EDT reply actions  

Guy that only throws fastballs faces team comprised of good fastball hitters

Let me know how that turns out if he pitches like he has and not like he can

If you can't say something to someone's face then it's not worthy of being said behind their back.

by Sandy Kazmir on Aug 12, 2011 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

I'm not expecting it

but it would be a lot of fun and we have a chance with our rotation.

I do this for free

by SRQman on Aug 12, 2011 11:52 AM EDT reply actions  

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