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Game On! Rays Sweep Red Sox, Move to 3.5 Out of Wild Card

According to Jayson Stark, no team in MLB history has made the playoffs after being down more than 7.5 games to start September. The Rays were 9.5 back from the Red Sox on September 1st. Yet after going 7-3 since then, they're now a mere 3.5 games behind the Red Sox -- the closest the Rays have been since the beginning of July. This team is hot, fired up, and blood-thirsty; there will be no September swoon a la 2009.

After winning Saturday night's game in a thrilling walkoff fashion, the Rays wasted no time jumping out to a lead today. They worked Jon Lester hard in the first inning, scoring two runs on three singles and a walk before Lester was even able to get one out. Lester ended up throwing 43 pitches in the first inning while allowing three runs, and his night only improved incrementally from that point on. He was missing over the plate with his pitches, and the Rays had runners in scoring position in each of the first four innings.

Going into the fifth inning, the Rays were in an interesting predicament: they were up 4-1 and had chased Lester from the game, but they had failed to score on a number of opportunities and the Red Sox were only one rally away from being back in the game. Thankfully, that didn't last long. Casey Kotchman walked, Jose Lobaton singled, and Desmond Jennings walked, bringing up B.J. Upton with the bases loaded and two outs.

Expecting a strikeout? Yup, I'll admit it -- I was. But Upton took Matt Albers deeep to left, hitting his 20th homerun of the season and breaking the game wide open. From then on, the rest of the game was academic.

Star-divide

On the pitching side, James Shields was as masterful as we've come to expect, coming just two outs away from working another complete game. The fans wanted him to get it, booing Maddon when he came out to get Shields, but at 121 pitches, there was no need to stress his arm. As it was, Shields only allowed one run through 8.1 innings, escaping from a couple jams along the way. The lone run was off a home run by Marco Scuturo in the third, but thankfully it was only a solo shot. 

The Rays have 17 games left and the Red Sox have 16 remaining, but right now, we simply have to be concerned about the next seven games. Starting tomorrow, the Rays play three games against the Orioles, and then go up to Boston for a four-game series next weekend. If the Rays want to make this race serious, they have to play this week like a team possessed. There's no way they can lose this series to the Orioles -- a sweep is almost necessary -- and then they need to take at least 3 of 4 from the Sox. Again, a sweep would be ideal.

If they can do that, then holy crap, we've got a race. Even then, though, the Rays will still have an uphill battle to climb -- they have 7 games left against the Yankees after that, while the Sox play 7 games against the O's -- so this week is absolutely crucial.

But nothing is impossible. This team looks loose, while the Red Sox are slumping and starting to feel some serious pressure. Who says they can't do it? The odds may be stacked against them, but I can't help get pumped for this week. 

Who'd have thunk that the Rays would be this close to a playoff spot in mid-September? This has been one dynamite, ridiculous, totally unpredictable seasons. Let the #Magic continue!

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Awesome, awesome game

We did exactly what we needed to do so let’s just keep on winning. Such an exciting buzz about this team when they look this good.

If you can't say something to someone's face then it's not worthy of being said behind their back.

by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 11, 2011 6:17 PM EDT reply actions  

Amen

Rays put on a display of “Rays Baseball” this weekend.

Quick question for you: Are we certain that Shields is not a viable candidate for the Cy Young Award? Can we somehow put him up against Verlander, CC, and Weaver?

by MrNegative1 on Sep 11, 2011 6:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

I want to update my look at wOBA expected vs wOBA allowed for all of them

Should have that done a couple days after the season. That and my deserved wins workbook should tell an interesting tale. He should certainly be in the conversation.

If you can't say something to someone's face then it's not worthy of being said behind their back.

by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 11, 2011 7:08 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I know individual wins, don't mean much for advanced stats

But I think, when comparing him to Verlander this season, a few more wins would help with the voters.

by Blue or CONKZILLA on Sep 11, 2011 10:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

July 15th?

I believe July 15th was the last time the Rays were as close as 3.5 games out of the wild card.

by MrNegative1 on Sep 11, 2011 6:53 PM EDT reply actions  

i know they are still low

but does anyone know what are playoff odds were before friday and what they are now….should be interesting to see the jump..

by LukeBaileysaStud on Sep 11, 2011 7:18 PM EDT reply actions  

Didn't watch one second of the Bucs

And by the looks of it, probably was a good move.

What an amazing job by the Rays, still a lot of work to do but they did exactly what they had to and they made Lester look like Lackey today.

Under construction

by joeybw on Sep 11, 2011 7:22 PM EDT reply actions  

Bucs will probably still win 9 or 10

Lions could seriously play in the Super Bowl. They are that good.

by djp68 on Sep 12, 2011 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

Boston's next two game matchups before they have to play us again

Wakefield vs Morrow
Lackey vs Romero

This baltimore series will be crucial. Then again, every game will be, and those games won’t be as important as the red sox series following, so yeah never mind

by benderbrodriguez on Sep 11, 2011 8:03 PM EDT reply actions  

What I had written

I did a fanpost on September 2nd titled September Playoff Odds: Open Thread based on coolstandings.com. Also, on September 2nd who thought the Tigers would be making a run at the best record in the AL?

Love that the 1% chance on September 2nd has improved. I also 100% agree with SF1 above that the only ODDS that matter are 0% and 100%.
====================

AL EAST

The second place team in the AL East will once again be the wild card winner in the American League. Barring a major collapse by either the Yankees or the Red Sox the two teams will battle down the stretch for the best record in the American League and the home field advantage. The Rays aren’t given much of a chance at the AL East title (0.1%) or the wild card (0.9%). So, the Rays have around a 1 in 100 chance of making the playoffs…so you’re saying there’s a chance.

by MrNegative1 on Sep 11, 2011 8:06 PM EDT reply actions  

There were many pissed off pink hats

leaving the dome today. I asked all the ones I could, if they thought they had the pitching to win the wild card. Everyone of them said no. They also felt that the whole team let down not just the pitching. I tried to analyse their situation, and found myself agreeing that their pitching is really in a mess.
Our problem is who will close for us. I don’t think Farnsy is able to physically answer the call. I am hopeing Joe has Matt and Matt in mind. De La Rosa looks good also.
 M and M = Bush and Moore

by Landlord on Sep 11, 2011 8:20 PM EDT reply actions  

Per Olney
Buster_ESPN Buster Olney
By the way: Rays haven’t decided what to do with Matt Moore, the top pitching prospect in the minors, in the days ahead.

I say call him up.

I do this for free

by SRQman on Sep 11, 2011 8:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think Joe will call him up

We need 1 more starter for that make up DH. It is the closer role that is questionable.

by Landlord on Sep 11, 2011 8:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

closer is scary

Our starting pitching is good…but our bullpen..not so sure of. Farsworth has been pretty scary as of late.
All I can do is hope and keep watching.

by electriclott on Sep 11, 2011 8:53 PM EDT reply actions  

Anyone know how long Bossman's HR was?

"It was a little weird seeing Ashley running at me with a closed fist. That was a scary look."-Matt Moore

by CubFanRaysaddict on Sep 11, 2011 8:56 PM EDT reply actions  

Awwwwww yeah
jcrasnick Jerry Crasnick
Matt Moore has been informed he’s coming to the big leagues. Joining the #Rays on Monday.

by BaconBits on Sep 11, 2011 9:10 PM EDT reply actions  

This season:

Start off 0-6, Manny Ramirez retires
Fuld and Kotch resurge the team and they gain momentum and battle for AL EAST lead
Draft great talent, but half expected not to sign
Falter in July, season looks dim
Call up of Desmond Jennings
Friedman spends trade deadline in a hospital
Sign draft picks at last minute
have a great August, only NYY/BOS had better ones
Now, Boston faltering and we’re making a run

by germanshepard44 on Sep 11, 2011 9:46 PM EDT reply actions  

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