Staying Alive: Rays Beat Red Sox 9-2, Move To 3 Back
Somehow, inexplicably, incredibly, unpredictably, the Rays are still in the hunt. Despite losing two of three against the Orioles earlier this week, the Rays are cranking up the heat when needed and doing just enough to make things really interesting in the Wild Card race. Don't count the Rays out of it until they're mathematically eliminated from the playoffs; otherwise, they'll keep fighting.
Make no mistake: the Rays were good last night, rapping out hits and knocking the Red Sox's starter (Kyle Weiland) out after just three innings. But at the same time, they benefited from some luck in the early innings. With the score tied in the top of the third inning, B.J. Upton came to the plate with runners on first and second with two outs. He hit a weak broken-bat dribbler toward the shortstop hole, but the bat shard went flying out with it and Marco Scuturo missed the ball while trying to avoid the bat. The Rays scored one run on the play, and then got three more runs as Evan Longoria homered in the very next at bat.
Hey, I'll take the Rays jumping out to an early lead no matter how it's done. But wow, that inning could easily have ended with no runs scored.
The Rays also got a tad lucky in the bottom of the third inning, as the Red Sox loaded the bases with one out against Jeremy Hellickson. After jumping out to that early lead, it seemed destinted that they'd hand the lead back already, but Hellboy managed to escape relatively unscathed. Adrian Gonzalez grounded out into a fielders choice, scoring one run, but he got out of the inning after that.
Later in the game, the Rays tacked on more runs off a solo home run from Casey Kotchman -- along with a two-run single from him -- and a two-run B.J. Upton home run.
As if we didn't need another reminder, this is why losing the series against the Orioles earlier this week hurt so much. These Rays can play serious ball, but for some reason, they're a bipolar team that can thrive one minute and scratch just to get a hit another.
But oh well, at least they won this game. Now just three more to go, and we've got a serious race on our hands.
Game Notes:
- Joe Maddon has made some questionable moves over the last few days -- Matt Moore's oddly timed debut, Maddon's seeming fear of using the entire expanded roster -- so he drew ire from many people on Twtiter when he frittered away another scoring opportunity by sending three lefties to the plate to face LOOGY Trever Miller. Predictably, the Rays didn't score, but one of those players did have a large contribution later in the game; Kotchman hit his two-run homer, solidifying the Rays' lead at 6-1. Bunting? Pinch hitting? Surely not for the #MagicOfKotch
- Russ Canzler made his major league debut in the ninth inning -- finally! -- and he worked a long at bat and drew a walk. It wasn't anything flashy or exciting, but he did show off a good batting eye, and at least Maddon finally got him into a game.
- Longoria now has 27 home runs in just over 500 plate appearances. His homerun rate this season is nearly identical to his rate when he made his debut in 2008, and it could have been even better if his foot injury earlier in the year hadn't seemingly knocked out his power for a while there.
- Shields and Beckett face off Friday, so get ready for another epic matchup (knock-on-wood). One game at a time, one game at a time...
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Whoops, good call.
I think that’s the first score this year I’ve screwed up. I’ll take it.
I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously. -- @steveslow
by Steve Slowinski on Sep 16, 2011 8:21 AM EDT up reply actions
Upton has been on a tear since he switched up his swing
Matt Albers is his bitch. Longo has actually had a very good year. He probably would be having a shot at 35+ homers if he was healthy all year
by RaysOfHope on Sep 16, 2011 1:37 AM EDT via mobile reply actions
lol
Yeah I’m betting Albers is praying that he never faces BJ again.
It's great to be a Florida Gator!
Brewers/Rays WS in Chiba, Japan

FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.
by Jess'HittheBall on Sep 16, 2011 2:02 AM EDT reply actions
(cont'd)
… I just think it would be a good thing to do. I was going to do a fanpost, but I do not have an itinerary set up.
Every time someone hits one out, there are people who come up and give out teddy bears and balloons. And then there will be a j-Pop band.
What do you guys think? Good?
FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.
by Jess'HittheBall on Sep 16, 2011 2:07 AM EDT up reply actions
I am in awe of the mysteries of these two comments.
A DRaysBay and FanGraphs writer from Cubs Stats and Twitter @BradleyWoodrum
Can someone explain what the hell this is?
Do you realize Betty White is a milf for me? Ouch
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
by sternfan1 on Sep 3, 2010 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
.
f baseball can alter the rules of the game to shift the balance between hitters and pitchers in any way that they wish, surely a composer can transform the conventions of music and assumptions about musical structure in significant and profound ways.
I know there are 10 games still left with the Sox/Yanks
But we just saw it in Baltimore, you can take anything for granted and those Jays worry me.
Under construction
Managers constantly PH for their best BA hitter in the 4th inning when they're ahead 4-1.
Why was this even in question?
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
Who questioned it besides Jonah?
I believe the rest of us were screaming that Jaso and Brignac were allowed to hit in those situations
I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______
by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 7:50 AM EDT up reply actions
Not getting into a flame war after we dominate our biggest game thus far
as for Jaso and Brignac, i guess all you can say is if he doesn’t PH for them in a game he’s behind in the late innings he isn’t doing it in the 4th inning last night. btw, imo Brignac and Jaso never see the field if i make out the line up
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
With expanded rosters, it was a wasted chance. Had the game not played out in that manner, we'd all be looking at the wasted opportunity
as we did the previous two nights when the team failed in the exact same situation.
Brignac and Jaso are brutal against lefties; Miller is garbage these days but he’s still a lefty. Why Jaso was bunting at the presumptive gold glove winner at 1st rather than the cripple at 3rd base is beyond me and with 2 outs and NINE men on the bench to pinch hit, anything is better than Brignac at that point – even with the pinch-hit penalty.
I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______
by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 8:02 AM EDT up reply actions
jaso's defense was awful tonight. his bunt made me want to punch him.
if we make the playoffs i would hope he and damon wouldn’t make the roster. pipe dream within a pipe dream, inception?
im not sure why theres so much damon hate. but im all for canning jaso.
Yeah, I don't see Badancil turning out well.
@dobbertweets
by blackraven on Jun 27, 2011 5:08 PM PDT
I honestly like damon on the team, even when hes not hitting well, hes a leader in tha dugout.
and sometimes we need more than price playing with the astro toy.
im also not sure who we slot into the DH slot. hes been the best DH we have had in a long time.
maybe were just so used to hating on our DH that we dont know how to deal with one who is servicable.
Yeah, I don't see Badancil turning out well.
@dobbertweets
by blackraven on Jun 27, 2011 5:08 PM PDT
who would you suggest to take his place at DH
that is performing as well or better.
Yeah, I don't see Badancil turning out well.
@dobbertweets
by blackraven on Jun 27, 2011 5:08 PM PDT
canzler hasnt been proven in the majors yet, guyer could be good, but again hasnt shown anything
i really dont see a replacement,
we could work in a rookie that got called up and see how he works for the rest of the season. give him time. but is a pennant race/playoffs when you want to test a rookies batting skills?
id rather just stick with damon.
Yeah, I don't see Badancil turning out well.
@dobbertweets
by blackraven on Jun 27, 2011 5:08 PM PDT
Well Russ Canzler has a wOBA of .720 and an OBP of 1.000 in his entire MLB history, jus sayin
and there goes our season
OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions
by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 16, 2011 9:41 AM EDT up reply actions
I would rotate people who need rest and play matchups based on the pitcher. If we're facing a righty, I'd rather see Fuld, Joyce, or Jaso (gulp) depending on who's playing the field.
Against lefties, it’s much easier. Guyer, Canzler, SRod, or anyone who needs a rest.
i think i just stopped trusting in your argument when you mentioned jaso.
Yeah, I don't see Badancil turning out well.
@dobbertweets
by blackraven on Jun 27, 2011 5:08 PM PDT
Jaso is an abomination
behind the plate. he has “lazy feet” stabbing at the ball with his glove. Letting a five hole thru enraged me. My son asked “Why would he bunt to first dad?”
"Come at me you scrawny red-dot indian motherfucker." DPIR :The Story
He bunted to first because the runner there holds the man on.
The Rays do this all the time. Which is why Gonzalez knew it was coming. He’s smart.
do they
do it ( alll the time) with runner at third ?
"Come at me you scrawny red-dot indian motherfucker." DPIR :The Story
Fourteen times
With a runner on first and third, less tan two outs, bad hitter at the plate (Brignac, S-Rod against righties, Jaso against lefties, Elliot Johnson, Chirinos). It’s pretty standard for them.
Everyone knew that was coming...
With a guy on third, he can come down the line as far as Youkilis was. Since he can’t move well, I force him to make that play.
I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______
by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions
i never said i wanted jaso? i said i was ok with canning him?
Yeah, I don't see Badancil turning out well.
@dobbertweets
by blackraven on Jun 27, 2011 5:08 PM PDT
He might have still been out
but no way should he have been out by that much. Not sure wtf Damon was doing on that bunt play
Running at top (slow) speed
Donate his organs to science if he really wants to help the team
and there goes our season
OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions
by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 16, 2011 10:37 AM EDT up reply actions
even with expanded rosters, cite an example of a similar game reset where a manager has done what you ask for
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
Because Maddon would never be willing to be the first manager to try something?
A DRaysBay and FanGraphs writer from Cubs Stats and Twitter @BradleyWoodrum
If Tito was willing to go to his pen in the 4th
Why can’t Maddon go to his bench in the 4th?
Again, the Rays lose that game and you’re the 1st one kicking and screaming about the way that inning was handled.
I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______
by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions
btw, it's only a flame war when you use the inflammatory comments
I’m just raising a point of discussion
I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______
by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 8:03 AM EDT up reply actions
All our SS and all our C should see the field, with someone else pinch hitting each time they come up.
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
OMG I ACTUALLY made a valid point?
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
by FreeZorilla on Sep 16, 2011 12:13 PM EDT up reply actions
Nope I have my friendly band of RIUNs by my side.
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
by FreeZorilla on Sep 16, 2011 12:17 PM EDT up reply actions
I got your back
me and Rasinusername and rays69420 and RAYSINUSERNAME whoever else I be
"Come at me you scrawny red-dot indian motherfucker." DPIR :The Story
Its not entirely in jest
If it s ameaningful PA with runners on, I want a PH in there regardless of the inning, particularly if the pitcher has a platoon advantage.
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
by FreeZorilla on Sep 16, 2011 12:17 PM EDT up reply actions
Didn't Earl Weaver do the same thing with Mark Belanger on a smaller scale?
On the road, had the SS hit leadoff but use a ‘real’ hitter, then substitute Belanger when the team took the field? I don’t see why we don’t at least do this. Pencil in Canzler at SS and bat him first, then let Reid take the field.
"Predictably we didn't score with 3 LH bats v LOOGY"
1- 1st batter moved the runner in scoring position w/less than 2 outs
2-1st or 2nd time in two year where the 1st & 3rd bunt has failed us, which is why Jaso was left to bat, at least one reason
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
Yeah those calling for Jaso to be pinch hit for, would you have had the pinch hitter come in and bunt cold off the bench. Really dumb.
Letting Briggy hit was the most questionable in my eyes, but I love his glove and would rather have that out there in a tight game.
and there goes our season
OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions
by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 16, 2011 9:44 AM EDT up reply actions
No,
I’d rather have a RH bat come up and sac fly or drive the runners in
I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______
by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions
Because guys on our team don't strike out or GIDP when they have the platoon advantage...
I love the bunt there
and there goes our season
OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions
by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 16, 2011 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions
I was calling to bunt Kotch to keep him in the game
If you are going to keep Jaso in, that takes away the GIDP potential. You can let him swing instead of bunting which gives the chance for a 2 run hit. Or you could PH for Jaso an dhav ethat guy swing away. Kotch was the out to give up, but not by replacing him.
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
by FreeZorilla on Sep 16, 2011 12:14 PM EDT up reply actions
My preferred path as well
I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______
by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 12:17 PM EDT up reply actions
AS TWEETED BY GOOD FRIEND AND MEDIA MATE JB LONG
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
by FreeZorilla on Sep 16, 2011 12:22 PM EDT up reply actions
Tough to distinguish all of you people smarter than me
I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______
by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions
While we all agree Adrian Gonzalez is a special player and an impact bat
he really has been less than impressive vs the Rays and Yankees
Rays 15 games 660 OPS
Yankees 15 games 675 OPS
But he loves those O’s
1300+ OPS
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
Sometimes Stats Are Fun (only for fun)
A study was done by David W. Smith at a SABR meeting in 2004 where a chart was presented of teams with leads after inning x and % of winning.
According to the Smith Research, a team with a 3-1 lead after 3 innings wins about 82% of their games.
A team with a 3 run lead after 4 innings wins 85% of their games.
If Jaso’s bunt play worked and the Rays were to be up 5-1 and the pen held the lead in the 4th the Rays statistically would of had a 95% chance of winning the game.
Now, of course, we are going to break apart the numbers and suggest it’s Fenway Park against a very good Boston offense with our beat up bullpen.
But I still felt compelled to post the numbers, why not?
I think its times like these during this pennant race that I wish a move had been made to add a strong bat to our lineup
but how was freidman to know we would make such a push at the 11th hour.
Yeah, I don't see Badancil turning out well.
@dobbertweets
by blackraven on Jun 27, 2011 5:08 PM PDT
The thing is, who would you like to have seen them add? Hunter Pence? Carlos Beltran?
and there goes our season
OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions
by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 16, 2011 9:45 AM EDT up reply actions
Yeah, I'd love a very good reliever, but we're talking bats here, aka the biggest room for improvement on the roster
There might be a few more options in free agency next year, but a) they will cost a draft pick if they are any good, b) You have to overpay, c) you’re competing with 29 other teams, and d) Rays lack of success in free agency (Bat) hasn’t hurt them so far so why even bother
and there goes our season
OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions
by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 16, 2011 10:39 AM EDT up reply actions
You add those three and I can guarantee sellouts every game next year as well as 120 win seasons for the next 5 years
and there goes our season
OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions
by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 16, 2011 11:07 AM EDT up reply actions
I've wanted Pence for 3 seasons now
And I really think we could of topped what the Phillies gave but we didn’t so go Joyce and Guyer!
Under construction
3 seasons? Wow, that goes all the way back to when you were....YAWN
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
by FreeZorilla on Sep 16, 2011 12:15 PM EDT up reply actions
Youk is prob out for the series
I wonder if the rain and cold weather are affecting Ortiz, Gonzalez or Beckett’s injuries at all.
Under construction
Hell-Boy
He has ice in his veins. He did get hosed by the ump on strike three to Pedroia which led to a run later. Clearly a strike. He didn’t have his best fastball command last night which had him putting up longer counts. Kudos to the pen tonight but the Sox had clearly given up by that point. I sure hope it doesn’t drizzle the whole series with swirling winds. Reminds me too much of the 2008 World Series!
Actually, Rays crushing the Sox at Fenway
BJ and Evan hitting bombs? Smells more like the ALCS to me.
Under construction
This
Such composure on the BS strike 3, and also the pop up that fell ebtween a sliding Deezy and a standing still Longo.
Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla
by FreeZorilla on Sep 16, 2011 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions
He, Davis, and Niemann are emotionless
I’m wondering if all of them work with the team head shrink. Shields is much better this season with his composure and Price holds his rage until after the inning is over.
I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______
by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions
Sometimes the pop psycholigist in me thinks Davis should have some of that Rage.
Guys with legitimate fastballs can use a little bit of STFD, at times.

























