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Staying Alive: Rays Beat Red Sox 9-2, Move To 3 Back

BOSTON, MA - SEPTEMBER 15:  Mike Aviles #3 of the Boston Red Sox kicks the dirt in the ninth inning during a game with Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park September 15, 2011 in Boston, Massachusetts. The Red Sox lost 9-1. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)

Somehow, inexplicably, incredibly, unpredictably, the Rays are still in the hunt. Despite losing two of three against the Orioles earlier this week, the Rays are cranking up the heat when needed and doing just enough to make things really interesting in the Wild Card race. Don't count the Rays out of it until they're mathematically eliminated from the playoffs; otherwise, they'll keep fighting.

Make no mistake: the Rays were good last night, rapping out hits and knocking the Red Sox's starter (Kyle Weiland) out after just three innings. But at the same time, they benefited from some luck in the early innings. With the score tied in the top of the third inning, B.J. Upton came to the plate with runners on first and second with two outs. He hit a weak broken-bat dribbler toward the shortstop hole, but the bat shard went flying out with it and Marco Scuturo missed the ball while trying to avoid the bat. The Rays scored one run on the play, and then got three more runs as Evan Longoria homered in the very next at bat.

Hey, I'll take the Rays jumping out to an early lead no matter how it's done. But wow, that inning could easily have ended with no runs scored.

The Rays also got a tad lucky in the bottom of the third inning, as the Red Sox loaded the bases with one out against Jeremy Hellickson. After jumping out to that early lead, it seemed destinted that they'd hand the lead back already, but Hellboy managed to escape relatively unscathed. Adrian Gonzalez grounded out into a fielders choice, scoring one run, but he got out of the inning after that.

Later in the game, the Rays tacked on more runs off a solo home run from Casey Kotchman -- along with a two-run single from him -- and a two-run B.J. Upton home run.  

As if we didn't need another reminder, this is why losing the series against the Orioles earlier this week hurt so much. These Rays can play serious ball, but for some reason, they're a bipolar team that can thrive one minute and scratch just to get a hit another.

But oh well, at least they won this game. Now just three more to go, and we've got a serious race on our hands.

Game Notes:

  • Joe Maddon has made some questionable moves over the last few days -- Matt Moore's oddly timed debut, Maddon's seeming fear of using the entire expanded roster -- so he drew ire from many people on Twtiter when he frittered away another scoring opportunity by sending three lefties to the plate to face LOOGY Trever Miller. Predictably, the Rays didn't score, but one of those players did have a large contribution later in the game; Kotchman hit his two-run homer, solidifying the Rays' lead at 6-1. Bunting? Pinch hitting? Surely not for the #MagicOfKotch 
  • Russ Canzler made his major league debut in the ninth inning -- finally! -- and he worked a long at bat and drew a walk. It wasn't anything flashy or exciting, but he did show off a good batting eye, and at least Maddon finally got him into a game.
  • Longoria now has 27 home runs in just over 500 plate appearances. His homerun rate this season is nearly identical to his rate when he made his debut in 2008, and it could have been even better if his foot injury earlier in the year hadn't seemingly knocked out his power for a while there.
  • Shields and Beckett face off Friday, so get ready for another epic matchup (knock-on-wood). One game at a time, one game at a time... 

Comment 97 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Whoops, good call.

I think that’s the first score this year I’ve screwed up. I’ll take it.

I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously. -- @steveslow

by Steve Slowinski on Sep 16, 2011 8:21 AM EDT up reply actions  

Upton has been on a tear since he switched up his swing

Matt Albers is his bitch. Longo has actually had a very good year. He probably would be having a shot at 35+ homers if he was healthy all year

by RaysOfHope on Sep 16, 2011 1:37 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

lol

Yeah I’m betting Albers is praying that he never faces BJ again.

It's great to be a Florida Gator!

by Gatorbuc15 on Sep 16, 2011 1:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

Brewers/Rays WS in Chiba, Japan

FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.

by Jess'HittheBall on Sep 16, 2011 2:02 AM EDT reply actions  

(cont'd)

… I just think it would be a good thing to do. I was going to do a fanpost, but I do not have an itinerary set up.
Every time someone hits one out, there are people who come up and give out teddy bears and balloons. And then there will be a j-Pop band.

What do you guys think? Good?

FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.

by Jess'HittheBall on Sep 16, 2011 2:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

Can someone explain what the hell this is?

Do you realize Betty White is a milf for me? Ouch

follow me on twitter @sternfan10

by sternfan1 on Sep 3, 2010 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs

by wtbudlight on Sep 16, 2011 10:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

.
f baseball can alter the rules of the game to shift the balance between hitters and pitchers in any way that they wish, surely a composer can transform the conventions of music and assumptions about musical structure in significant and profound ways.

by Sveet on Sep 16, 2011 10:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

I know there are 10 games still left with the Sox/Yanks

But we just saw it in Baltimore, you can take anything for granted and those Jays worry me.

Under construction

by joeybw on Sep 16, 2011 3:34 AM EDT reply actions  

Who questioned it besides Jonah?

I believe the rest of us were screaming that Jaso and Brignac were allowed to hit in those situations

I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______

by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 7:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

Not getting into a flame war after we dominate our biggest game thus far

as for Jaso and Brignac, i guess all you can say is if he doesn’t PH for them in a game he’s behind in the late innings he isn’t doing it in the 4th inning last night. btw, imo Brignac and Jaso never see the field if i make out the line up

follow me on twitter @sternfan10

by sternfan1 on Sep 16, 2011 7:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

With expanded rosters, it was a wasted chance. Had the game not played out in that manner, we'd all be looking at the wasted opportunity

as we did the previous two nights when the team failed in the exact same situation.

Brignac and Jaso are brutal against lefties; Miller is garbage these days but he’s still a lefty. Why Jaso was bunting at the presumptive gold glove winner at 1st rather than the cripple at 3rd base is beyond me and with 2 outs and NINE men on the bench to pinch hit, anything is better than Brignac at that point – even with the pinch-hit penalty.

I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______

by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 8:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

jaso's defense was awful tonight. his bunt made me want to punch him.

if we make the playoffs i would hope he and damon wouldn’t make the roster. pipe dream within a pipe dream, inception?

by pudieron89 on Sep 16, 2011 8:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

im not sure why theres so much damon hate. but im all for canning jaso.

Yeah, I don't see Badancil turning out well.

@dobbertweets

by blackraven on Jun 27, 2011 5:08 PM PDT

by Badancil on Sep 16, 2011 8:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

I honestly like damon on the team, even when hes not hitting well, hes a leader in tha dugout.

and sometimes we need more than price playing with the astro toy.

im also not sure who we slot into the DH slot. hes been the best DH we have had in a long time.

maybe were just so used to hating on our DH that we dont know how to deal with one who is servicable.

Yeah, I don't see Badancil turning out well.

@dobbertweets

by blackraven on Jun 27, 2011 5:08 PM PDT

by Badancil on Sep 16, 2011 8:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

who would you suggest to take his place at DH

that is performing as well or better.

Yeah, I don't see Badancil turning out well.

@dobbertweets

by blackraven on Jun 27, 2011 5:08 PM PDT

by Badancil on Sep 16, 2011 9:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

canzler hasnt been proven in the majors yet, guyer could be good, but again hasnt shown anything

i really dont see a replacement,
we could work in a rookie that got called up and see how he works for the rest of the season. give him time. but is a pennant race/playoffs when you want to test a rookies batting skills?

id rather just stick with damon.

Yeah, I don't see Badancil turning out well.

@dobbertweets

by blackraven on Jun 27, 2011 5:08 PM PDT

by Badancil on Sep 16, 2011 9:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

Well Russ Canzler has a wOBA of .720 and an OBP of 1.000 in his entire MLB history, jus sayin

and there goes our season

OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions

by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 16, 2011 9:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

Jaso

"Come at me you scrawny red-dot indian motherfucker." DPIR :The Story

by Rayskins on Sep 16, 2011 9:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

Jaso is an abomination

behind the plate. he has “lazy feet” stabbing at the ball with his glove. Letting a five hole thru enraged me. My son asked “Why would he bunt to first dad?”

"Come at me you scrawny red-dot indian motherfucker." DPIR :The Story

by Rayskins on Sep 16, 2011 9:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

He bunted to first because the runner there holds the man on.

The Rays do this all the time. Which is why Gonzalez knew it was coming. He’s smart.

by Whelk on Sep 16, 2011 10:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

do they

do it ( alll the time) with runner at third ?

"Come at me you scrawny red-dot indian motherfucker." DPIR :The Story

by Rayskins on Sep 16, 2011 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

Fourteen times

With a runner on first and third, less tan two outs, bad hitter at the plate (Brignac, S-Rod against righties, Jaso against lefties, Elliot Johnson, Chirinos). It’s pretty standard for them.

by Whelk on Sep 16, 2011 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

thanks

"Come at me you scrawny red-dot indian motherfucker." DPIR :The Story

by Rayskins on Sep 16, 2011 3:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

Everyone knew that was coming...

With a guy on third, he can come down the line as far as Youkilis was. Since he can’t move well, I force him to make that play.

I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______

by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

i never said i wanted jaso? i said i was ok with canning him?

Yeah, I don't see Badancil turning out well.

@dobbertweets

by blackraven on Jun 27, 2011 5:08 PM PDT

by Badancil on Sep 16, 2011 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

agreeing with you

"Come at me you scrawny red-dot indian motherfucker." DPIR :The Story

by Rayskins on Sep 16, 2011 3:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

He might have still been out

but no way should he have been out by that much. Not sure wtf Damon was doing on that bunt play

by Sveet on Sep 16, 2011 9:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

Running at top (slow) speed

Donate his organs to science if he really wants to help the team

and there goes our season

OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions

by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 16, 2011 10:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

If Tito was willing to go to his pen in the 4th

Why can’t Maddon go to his bench in the 4th?

Again, the Rays lose that game and you’re the 1st one kicking and screaming about the way that inning was handled.

I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______

by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

btw, it's only a flame war when you use the inflammatory comments

I’m just raising a point of discussion

I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______

by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 8:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

Didn't Earl Weaver do the same thing with Mark Belanger on a smaller scale?

On the road, had the SS hit leadoff but use a ‘real’ hitter, then substitute Belanger when the team took the field? I don’t see why we don’t at least do this. Pencil in Canzler at SS and bat him first, then let Reid take the field.

by nomoredevil on Sep 16, 2011 2:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agree

Don’t get why people wanted Kotch out.

I do this for free

by SRQman on Sep 16, 2011 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

AGENDA

He’s had a bad 3 weeks, he clearly is the terrible player everyone originally believed himt o be.

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Sep 16, 2011 1:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

"Predictably we didn't score with 3 LH bats v LOOGY"

1- 1st batter moved the runner in scoring position w/less than 2 outs

2-1st or 2nd time in two year where the 1st & 3rd bunt has failed us, which is why Jaso was left to bat, at least one reason

follow me on twitter @sternfan10

by sternfan1 on Sep 16, 2011 8:35 AM EDT reply actions  

Yeah those calling for Jaso to be pinch hit for, would you have had the pinch hitter come in and bunt cold off the bench. Really dumb.

Letting Briggy hit was the most questionable in my eyes, but I love his glove and would rather have that out there in a tight game.

and there goes our season

OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions

by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 16, 2011 9:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

No,

I’d rather have a RH bat come up and sac fly or drive the runners in

I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______

by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Because guys on our team don't strike out or GIDP when they have the platoon advantage...

I love the bunt there

and there goes our season

OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions

by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 16, 2011 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

I was calling to bunt Kotch to keep him in the game

If you are going to keep Jaso in, that takes away the GIDP potential. You can let him swing instead of bunting which gives the chance for a 2 run hit. Or you could PH for Jaso an dhav ethat guy swing away. Kotch was the out to give up, but not by replacing him.

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Sep 16, 2011 12:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

While we all agree Adrian Gonzalez is a special player and an impact bat

he really has been less than impressive vs the Rays and Yankees

Rays 15 games 660 OPS

Yankees 15 games 675 OPS

But he loves those O’s

1300+ OPS

follow me on twitter @sternfan10

by sternfan1 on Sep 16, 2011 8:50 AM EDT reply actions  

Sometimes Stats Are Fun (only for fun)

A study was done by David W. Smith at a SABR meeting in 2004 where a chart was presented of teams with leads after inning x and % of winning.

According to the Smith Research, a team with a 3-1 lead after 3 innings wins about 82% of their games.

A team with a 3 run lead after 4 innings wins 85% of their games.

If Jaso’s bunt play worked and the Rays were to be up 5-1 and the pen held the lead in the 4th the Rays statistically would of had a 95% chance of winning the game.

Now, of course, we are going to break apart the numbers and suggest it’s Fenway Park against a very good Boston offense with our beat up bullpen.

But I still felt compelled to post the numbers, why not?

STORY HERE

by MrNegative1 on Sep 16, 2011 8:54 AM EDT reply actions  

should read

3 run lead after 3 innings win about 82% of their games…..again, just for fun

by MrNegative1 on Sep 16, 2011 8:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think its times like these during this pennant race that I wish a move had been made to add a strong bat to our lineup

but how was freidman to know we would make such a push at the 11th hour.

Yeah, I don't see Badancil turning out well.

@dobbertweets

by blackraven on Jun 27, 2011 5:08 PM PDT

by Badancil on Sep 16, 2011 9:14 AM EDT reply actions  

The thing is, who would you like to have seen them add? Hunter Pence? Carlos Beltran?

and there goes our season

OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions

by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 16, 2011 9:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I'd love a very good reliever, but we're talking bats here, aka the biggest room for improvement on the roster

There might be a few more options in free agency next year, but a) they will cost a draft pick if they are any good, b) You have to overpay, c) you’re competing with 29 other teams, and d) Rays lack of success in free agency (Bat) hasn’t hurt them so far so why even bother

and there goes our season

OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.
by gizmosandy on Sep 11, 2011 3:59 PM EDT reply actions

by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 16, 2011 10:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

Youk is prob out for the series

I wonder if the rain and cold weather are affecting Ortiz, Gonzalez or Beckett’s injuries at all.

Under construction

by joeybw on Sep 16, 2011 11:23 AM EDT reply actions  

Hell-Boy

He has ice in his veins. He did get hosed by the ump on strike three to Pedroia which led to a run later. Clearly a strike. He didn’t have his best fastball command last night which had him putting up longer counts. Kudos to the pen tonight but the Sox had clearly given up by that point. I sure hope it doesn’t drizzle the whole series with swirling winds. Reminds me too much of the 2008 World Series!

by learnedglove on Sep 16, 2011 12:00 PM EDT reply actions  

Actually, Rays crushing the Sox at Fenway

BJ and Evan hitting bombs? Smells more like the ALCS to me.

Under construction

by joeybw on Sep 16, 2011 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

This

Such composure on the BS strike 3, and also the pop up that fell ebtween a sliding Deezy and a standing still Longo.

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Sep 16, 2011 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

He, Davis, and Niemann are emotionless

I’m wondering if all of them work with the team head shrink. Shields is much better this season with his composure and Price holds his rage until after the inning is over.

I'm not a fanboy, I'm a _______

by Jason Collette on Sep 16, 2011 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sometimes the pop psycholigist in me thinks Davis should have some of that Rage.

Guys with legitimate fastballs can use a little bit of STFD, at times.

by Whelk on Sep 16, 2011 12:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

emotionless

Davis is scary that way. He has to be the worst interview ever

by learnedglove on Sep 16, 2011 3:07 PM EDT reply actions  

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