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The Rays Tank: The Band Getting Back Together?

In case you missed it last night, Scott Boras is getting ready to start dealing his cards.

We also know this because he and his client, Ryan Madson, came to terms with the Reds late last night on a one year deal. The exact terms were not discussed, but I am guessing there really was not $7M in the Rays' budget this time around for a closer. Since Boras and his agency are holding most of the free agent cards at this point, we should finally start seeing some kind of movement on the free agent market and potentially the reactionary trade market depending on who does and does not get what they need. We just need that Prince, err, Jack of Clubs to be played.

Other Rays-Related News:

  • Rancel reminds us that players have one week to file their arbitration figures meaning Burke Badenhop, J.P. Howell, Jeff Niemann, David Price, and B.J. Upton have some decisions to make with their respective agents. Upton has already been through the process and lost his case in 2010 and chose to agree to a pre-arbitration deal before last season. Upton is one of five players to go before the arbiter under the new ownership, but the scoreboard reads Team 5, Player 0. For a review of what the process is like, see this legacy article at Baseball Prospectus (free).
  • Speaking of BP, my colleague Christina Kahrl is not a fan of the Rays re-signing Johnny Damon but she did agree with me on a name that I first proposed back on December 1st.
  • Go check out the pitcher comps that @DodgerSims was kind enough to share with us in a fanpost
  • Sean Rodriguez has a Twitter account
  • RaysProspects has more to say about the 2012 Stone Crabs staff
  • The Orioles are staying in touch with Luke Scott who they non-tendered in December and remains one of the few names left on the free agent list for DH's.
  • Beyond the Boxscore ranks the Rays' Top 12 prospects
  • Seth McClung found himself another opportunity to try to get back to the majors for the first time since 2009. Big Red begat Grant Balfour so always be thankful the Brewers saw talent in McClung in 2007.
Non-Rays News:
  • MLBTR looks at the rapidly shrinking market for relievers desiring multi-year deals.
  • Keith Law is not taking a job with the Astros front office. His work and opinions are a valuable part of the public domain and it would have been missed.
  • If you thought this year's Hall of Fame discussions were interesting, just wait until next year!
  • What would you change in baseball? Here are two bold suggestions.

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Jersey # like alot of players

www.espn1040.com, www.theprocessreport.com, www.bloombergsports.com Twitter @trancel

by Tommy Rancel on Jan 11, 2012 7:19 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Ah. Thanks.

I never pay attention to jersey numbers.

by Ben Tumbling on Jan 11, 2012 7:21 AM EST up reply actions  

Could just be a coincidence thats his number

But if the other is available that’s the only logical reason I see for it.

www.espn1040.com, www.theprocessreport.com, www.bloombergsports.com Twitter @trancel

by Tommy Rancel on Jan 11, 2012 8:25 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Madson ended up with $8.5M plus incentives in his deal

Steal for Walt Jocketty and the Reds while we learn that Ruben Amaro Jr. always pays sticker prices for cars.

If you are ever impatient at how the Rays run free agency, remember what the Phillies did with their closer role this off-season.

I'm not a fanboy, I'm an awesome dude

by Jason Collette on Jan 11, 2012 7:59 AM EST reply actions  

If the Rays, Indians, Pirates, Royals etc make that deal

it’d be a very risky one, more risk than reward probably.

For teams like the Phillies, Yankees etc, if Howard fails does it really change how they proceed in gathering talent or spending?

follow me on twitter @sternfan10

by sternfan1 on Jan 11, 2012 8:49 AM EST up reply actions  

You would hope so

But Amaro didn’t pass history apparently.

Howard had 1+yrs on his old deal, there was a lot of time.

I put the screw IN THE TUNA!

by Transplanted on Jan 11, 2012 8:50 AM EST up reply actions  

I see your point, to an extent.

But that’s just a bad allocation of resources (regardless of how many you have) and the timing just makes it baffling. It’s defensible to sign a player a bit over value it you have the money but Howard is going to be paid like a franchise player while Hamels and Utley walk.

by sattp on Jan 11, 2012 9:31 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

but the rbis!

"I don't always post off-topic, but when I do, I post at http://ottotd.com" - $tinky $tu
"Please break your typewriter and computer and never come out of your ass cave again"

by pudieron89 on Jan 11, 2012 9:49 AM EST up reply actions  

I don't care who you are

Never by first

I'm not a fanboy, I'm an awesome dude

by Jason Collette on Jan 11, 2012 9:18 AM EST up reply actions  

Detroit last year

struck early and got Benoit and Vmart…I think that worked out pretty well for El Tigres.

by MrNegative1 on Jan 11, 2012 9:39 AM EST up reply actions  

yup

"I don't always post off-topic, but when I do, I post at http://ottotd.com" - $tinky $tu
"Please break your typewriter and computer and never come out of your ass cave again"

by pudieron89 on Jan 11, 2012 9:49 AM EST up reply actions  

did Detroit overpay

for Benoit or Vmart?

I am in agreement with Collette on this topic by the way. I like the way the Rays do business and love their model.

This year the market said grab a catcher early and the Rays did but to be first in line for a 1b/DH this offseason would be silly.

by MrNegative1 on Jan 11, 2012 10:02 AM EST up reply actions  

You don't think Benoit was an overpay?

What could be better than Dan Johnson
hitting .108
Let's trade Reddick for Heyward! 
Herreshoff.info -- The most awesome website since the invention of the internet.
by QW on Sep 28, 2011 9:47 PM CDT

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 10:31 AM EST up reply actions  

yes he was

overpaid slightly, but now with the benefit of 1 productive year under his belt I can use hindsight and suggest otherwise!

He also fell into the multi-year love affair with relief pitchers as reported on MLBTR today.

by MrNegative1 on Jan 11, 2012 10:34 AM EST up reply actions  

ok

horrible deal…Tigers and Dumbrowski are regretting it in their club offices as we speak.

by MrNegative1 on Jan 11, 2012 10:57 AM EST up reply actions  

opens up cordero to the rays for cheap.

cordero, scott, and pena. trade davis/niemann for prospects, and call it an offseason. huzzah!

by rglass44 on Jan 11, 2012 11:05 AM EST up reply actions  

Why would you want Cordero?

Cherington has taken off his pants and he’s sh###ing all over my hopes for 2012
by TheLoneDavid on Jan 10, 2012 12:31 PM CST

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 11:06 AM EST up reply actions  

I'm not sure if you're serious or not.

But just in case, he’s not an elite arm.

Cherington has taken off his pants and he’s sh###ing all over my hopes for 2012
by TheLoneDavid on Jan 10, 2012 12:31 PM CST

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 11:33 AM EST up reply actions  

his FIP the last three years is about equal with Peralta.

Granted it’s trending the wrong way, but that ‘s why he’s a buy low candidate. “elite” was probably the wrong word. buy-low with good upside for high leverage spots. better version of rodney.

by rglass44 on Jan 11, 2012 11:42 AM EST up reply actions  

His ever decreasing K rate coupled with his high BB rate (aside from 2011's outlier in the recent trend) is too concerning for me.

He’ll probably cost too much to be worth whatever minor reward he may provide.

2.84 3.69 4.18 — Cordero ERA FIP xFIP

3.18 3.48 3.93 — Peralta

Consider that 2009 was the only really good year that Cordero had in the past 3 and that 2009 was the only poor year that Peralta had, and you should be taking notice that not only is Peralta better, but they are trending in opposite directions. Cordero just seems washed up to me, and I’d really rather not have him pitch in high leverage situations.

In high leverage situations last season, his FIP was 4.47 (xFIP 4.34). In 2010, it was 3.83 (4.33). In 2009, it was 2.91 (4.19). I can’t find much hope in this trend. Peralta’s been bouncing back and forth in his effectiveness in high leverage situations for the past 3 years. Last year was pretty close to Cordero’s, at least in FIP, but in 2010, he just flat out dominated, and he sucked in 2009.

But to spend money on a guy like Cordero just seems like a waste. I’m not seeing much upside.

You have been issued a warning.
Personal attacks have no place ~Alzheimer reference~ --sternfan1
In order to continue participating on DRaysBay you must acknowledge your warning by pressing the OK button below.

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 12:18 PM EST up reply actions  

i noted the trend in my last comment.

i put very little stock in leverage statistics because they are based on such small samples.

i said “opens up cordero to the rays for cheap.” “for cheap” is the key there. you can never have too many arms in a bullpen (especially one with as many questions as our’s has). the thing about RPs is trends matter less because so much of it could be SS issues. if the rays see something that could turn coco around then go for it, if they dont then dont. thats why i said hes like rodney. what about rodney is appealing when you look at his trends?

by rglass44 on Jan 11, 2012 12:45 PM EST up reply actions  

His insane GB% for the past few years is appealing.

not that I’m a huge fan of that acquisition, I can see how he might succeed here.

How cheap do you think Cordero will be?

You have been issued a warning.
Personal attacks have no place ~Alzheimer reference~ --sternfan1
In order to continue participating on DRaysBay you must acknowledge your warning by pressing the OK button below.

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 1:02 PM EST up reply actions  

no idea, but based on what madson just got he could come pretty cheap.

id do it for less than peralta got ($2-3 mill) if the scouts think they see something.

by rglass44 on Jan 11, 2012 1:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah I'd be okay with that if he's only $2 million

another concern: wouldn’t paying these older RP like Rodney and Cordero (and even Farnsworth and Peralta) millions get in the way of pitching younger, much higher upside guys like McGee and Lueke and Torres, etc, if they’re ineffective? Would the Rays be willing to cut bait on the money they spent? I was wondering about that.

You have been issued a warning.
Personal attacks have no place ~Alzheimer reference~ --sternfan1
In order to continue participating on DRaysBay you must acknowledge your warning by pressing the OK button below.

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 7:29 PM EST up reply actions  

While i see both Pena and Damon as real fits for the Rays, i didn't

get anyything positive out of Boras’ comment. He rarely tips his hand and certainly isn’t about to exclude any team

follow me on twitter @sternfan10

by sternfan1 on Jan 11, 2012 8:33 AM EST reply actions  

Maybe he was considering player preference

What could be better than Dan Johnson
hitting .108
Let's trade Reddick for Heyward! 
Herreshoff.info -- The most awesome website since the invention of the internet.
by QW on Sep 28, 2011 9:47 PM CDT

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 8:36 AM EST up reply actions  

From MLBTR: Scott Proctor signs in Korea

Think Longoria’s HR had anything to do with it?

follow me on twitter @sternfan10

by sternfan1 on Jan 11, 2012 8:59 AM EST reply actions  

Fernando Martinez waived by the Mets

Should there be any interest in him? I remember literally speeding home and running to my laptop when I heard on the radio that he had been called up in 2009. Missed him by less than a minute in my NL only league.

He’s sucked, but he used to be a top prospect, so maybe there’s still something to him?

What could be better than Dan Johnson
hitting .108
Let's trade Reddick for Heyward! 
Herreshoff.info -- The most awesome website since the invention of the internet.
by QW on Sep 28, 2011 9:47 PM CDT

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 9:11 AM EST reply actions  

He would be interesting to add to Durham.

I’m not sure if his injuries zapped some of his tools but he was certainly a top prospect and still young enough to add on a minor league deal.

by Peter Piontek on Jan 11, 2012 9:15 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, he just turned 23.

Over on AA, they seem surprised, but some seem to think the dude can barely run. Knee problems. Someone said something about a degenerative condition. I wonder if this is anything like the Baldelli case. I’m not looking it up, but if anyone knows anything about it, please share and enable my laziness as I am on a sick day and refuse to google search.

What could be better than Dan Johnson
hitting .108
Let's trade Reddick for Heyward! 
Herreshoff.info -- The most awesome website since the invention of the internet.
by QW on Sep 28, 2011 9:47 PM CDT

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 9:26 AM EST up reply actions  

never had more than 8 sb in a season.

his minor league ISO is decent, though. Seems like some power potential more than speed, but I don’t know his scouting reports.

What could be better than Dan Johnson
hitting .108
Let's trade Reddick for Heyward! 
Herreshoff.info -- The most awesome website since the invention of the internet.
by QW on Sep 28, 2011 9:47 PM CDT

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 9:45 AM EST up reply actions  

His waiver period expires today

There’s no risk in putting a claim and just seeing what he has if anything

www.espn1040.com, www.theprocessreport.com, www.bloombergsports.com Twitter @trancel

by Tommy Rancel on Jan 11, 2012 9:31 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Bulk him up and plop him at 1b!

What could be better than Dan Johnson
hitting .108
Let's trade Reddick for Heyward! 
Herreshoff.info -- The most awesome website since the invention of the internet.
by QW on Sep 28, 2011 9:47 PM CDT

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 9:33 AM EST up reply actions  

F-Mart has an option remaining

so it might be the Rays, but it won’t matter because of inverse order of standings

by AndrewTorrez on Jan 11, 2012 10:32 AM EST up reply actions  

Scott v Damon

Scott’s numbers in Camden Yards v Damon’s numbers in Yankee Stadium

I’ll take Damon if Scott’s price tag is significantly higher

follow me on twitter @sternfan10

by sternfan1 on Jan 11, 2012 10:03 AM EST up reply actions  

rather have neither

"I don't always post off-topic, but when I do, I post at http://ottotd.com" - $tinky $tu
"Please break your typewriter and computer and never come out of your ass cave again"

by pudieron89 on Jan 11, 2012 10:11 AM EST up reply actions  

Butler & Betemit

but only if Betemit agrees to give up trying to hit right-handed

by AndrewTorrez on Jan 11, 2012 10:32 AM EST up reply actions  

I am also starting to come around on Billy Butler

but I think the Royals will hold him hostage for an overpay.

What could be better than Dan Johnson
hitting .108
Let's trade Reddick for Heyward! 
Herreshoff.info -- The most awesome website since the invention of the internet.
by QW on Sep 28, 2011 9:47 PM CDT

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 10:33 AM EST up reply actions  

Yes, I am on board with this.

What could be better than Dan Johnson
hitting .108
Let's trade Reddick for Heyward! 
Herreshoff.info -- The most awesome website since the invention of the internet.
by QW on Sep 28, 2011 9:47 PM CDT

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 10:32 AM EST up reply actions  

FIELDER OR BUST

Betemit still being out there is intriguing

I put the screw IN THE TUNA!

by Transplanted on Jan 11, 2012 11:14 AM EST up reply actions  

Tired of the RFO sitting on their hands.
Kotch seems a no-brainer. One of the best hitters in the AL. Period. And a definite stud on defense at an extremely valuable position. PLUS he is from the Tampa area. Not another part of the state as Damon, but literally a home-town player.

@RealNolenBailey

by Hatfield on Jan 11, 2012 10:31 AM EST reply actions  

haha who are you quoting?

What could be better than Dan Johnson
hitting .108
Let's trade Reddick for Heyward! 
Herreshoff.info -- The most awesome website since the invention of the internet.
by QW on Sep 28, 2011 9:47 PM CDT

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 10:33 AM EST up reply actions  

checkity check check

What could be better than Dan Johnson
hitting .108
Let's trade Reddick for Heyward! 
Herreshoff.info -- The most awesome website since the invention of the internet.
by QW on Sep 28, 2011 9:47 PM CDT

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 10:42 AM EST up reply actions  

I need to start checking in there more often.

That crap is hilarious.

What could be better than Dan Johnson
hitting .108
Let's trade Reddick for Heyward! 
Herreshoff.info -- The most awesome website since the invention of the internet.
by QW on Sep 28, 2011 9:47 PM CDT

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 11, 2012 10:46 AM EST up reply actions  

Perfect.
I’ve had good games when nobody’s been in the stands

@RealNolenBailey

by Hatfield on Jan 11, 2012 10:55 AM EST up reply actions  

Noted stoner, Bongora, must have introduced him to this place.
For food, in Durham I would recommend [pizza joint] Mellow Mushroom — it’s right across the street from the park.

@RealNolenBailey

by Hatfield on Jan 11, 2012 10:56 AM EST up reply actions  

Everyone mentions that Mellow Mushroom in Durham

The beer at the one down the road here in great but the pizza has been hit and miss

I'm not a fanboy, I'm an awesome dude

by Jason Collette on Jan 11, 2012 11:01 AM EST up reply actions  

That's impossible.

I don’t walk to the stadium anymore, I have people pull me while I slide across the sea of empty shell casings like I’m skiing.

@RealNolenBailey

by Hatfield on Jan 11, 2012 11:08 AM EST up reply actions  

isn't there one of those in Sarasota?

"I don't always post off-topic, but when I do, I post at http://ottotd.com" - $tinky $tu
"Please break your typewriter and computer and never come out of your ass cave again"

by pudieron89 on Jan 12, 2012 10:16 AM EST up reply actions  

I'm still not sure what to think about the addition of a leg kick.

Guess we’ll see how that goes for him…it just seems like it’s so easy for that to get out of synch and make timing difficult. Or maybe that’s just me being biased with our experience with Upton.

I love Casey Fossum. Now try and take me seriously.

by Steve Slowinski on Jan 11, 2012 11:03 AM EST up reply actions  

Boom..
At #Rays workout at Trop, those taking ground balls at 1B include. Canzler, S-Rod, Brignac and … Matt Joyce

I'm not a fanboy, I'm an awesome dude

by Jason Collette on Jan 11, 2012 11:23 AM EST reply actions  

dude why is Brignac there?

The guy has 1 rule, make the highlight reel on defense only for the number to say you were actually bad on D.

Pena will be at 1B for the 2012 season. Boras only getting 1 year/8 million for a guy that wanted 4 years/44 million makes me much more confident.

Matt Moore. That is all.

by joeybw on Jan 11, 2012 12:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Are we picking 2 out of these 4? Pena, Damon, Kotchman and Scott

I’m sorry but I’m taking Damon over Scott because Scott has an IF and that’s IF he’s healthy and IF BJ Upton doesn’t beat him up, he will be better than Damon.

I pick Pena over Kotch simply because the AVG was nice and all but Pena’s D is just about the same and he adds homers (and strikeouts) to the lineup.

Matt Moore. That is all.

by joeybw on Jan 11, 2012 12:41 PM EST reply actions  

This guy on MLBtr
How much money do the Rays have to spend? If they grabbed Scott ($3M), Pena ($5M), Cordero ($8M) and traded Wade Davis, Jake Hager & Ryan Brett for Kurt Suzuki & Chris Carter, they’d be so filthy.

1B: C Pena
2B: B. Zobrist
SS: S. Rodriguez
3B: E. Longoroia
C: K. Suzuki
LF: L. Scott
CF: D. Jennings
RF: M. Morse
DH: C. Carter

OVERpay for Suzuki, can’t even trade Hager, why are our corner OF’ers Scott and Morse and why would we give Cordero what Madson just made?

Matt Moore. That is all.

by joeybw on Jan 11, 2012 1:11 PM EST reply actions  

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