The Rays have a very small bonus pool for the draft this year. Looking at the amount spent last year compared to the recommended bonuses then, the Rays went over by very little. Had the new rule been in effect, they would probably not have hesitated to pay out as much as they did since it would have meant a 75% tax on a rather small amount. Of course, they would have had a much bigger pool in 2011.
I have read many analyses of the impact the new rules will have on the Rays, most of them very negative. Some are less pessimistic, and I am not convinced yet either way. It will be interesting to see how Friedman works the system and whether the Rays are harmed or not. We also do not know yet whether the Rays will get any lottery picks. Nor can we be sure of the ancillary effects-apart from signing draftees-of the rules.