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Rays Should Sign Russell Branyan

As Jason Collette pointed out yesterday, the Rays have seemingly lost all of their former first basemen to the American League Central. All three also happened to be 2011 Triple-A Durham first basemen.

The Durham Bulls played a couple of guys at first base in 2011 that have since moved on from the Rays organization. Dan Johnson signed a minor league deal with the Chicago White Sox. Russ Canzler was traded to the Cleveland Indians for cash considerations. Casey Kotchman turned his magical 2011 season into a guaranteed $3M with the Cleveland Indians.

This leaves the Rays with Leslie Anderson as their lone first baseman in Durham. Why is this a problem, you ask? Because the Rays have no depth in case Luke Scott or Carlos Pena succumb to injury. Anderson is good organizational depth but there is little-to-no evidence that he would be able to handle Major League pitching if he were next on the depth chart to replace Pena or Scott.

The Rays still have plenty of arms to deal but it likely will not be for a Major League ready first baseman. Besides, with Pena and Scott on the active roster there really is not a lot of room to carry another guy relegated to first base duties alone.

If a trade occurs it will likely be for a player who can handle a few positions or, like Mr. Maniac pointed out yesterday, for an upgrade at catcher.

It may not seem like a big deal but imagine if the Rays did not have Casey Kotchman in Durham last year when Dan Johnson failed at the Big League level. Would the Rays have made the playoffs? What if it were Leslie Anderson who got the call? The Rays need to add a first baseman to Durham and who better than Russell Branyan?

Star-divide

Sure, you could argue that Derrek Lee would be a better option, but is he going to sign a minor league deal? I highly doubt it. He will likely find a Major League job somewhere.

Branyan did have a bad 2011 and had his fewest plate appearances since the 1999 season. Most of his plate appearances were in a pinch hitting role and getting the occasional spot start. He never got a fair opportunity to play and his numbers suffered. I have stated this before, and probably sound like a broken record by now, but the fact still remains that there is value here as long as he is healthy.

Branyan's defense at first base is actually really good. He has a +5.8 UZR in 1609.2 innings over the past three seasons. He has also maintained his good patience at the plate with his 10th straight year of posting at least a 10% walk rate. It was 12.3% last year and sits at 11.9% for his career.

Yes, his power was down and he only hit 5 homeruns last year but he has hit 68 home runs over his previous 939 at-bats. I believe the power is still there and the Rays honestly have nothing to lose if he is willing to take a minor league deal.

I know, I have what might be an unhealthy attachment to Branyan but the fact of the matter is that the Rays need some organizational depth at first base that can step in if Carlos Pena or Luke Scott were to go down with an injury. Why not Russell Branyan?

Comment 164 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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One other

Rays did sign Juan Miranda to play 1b at Durham.

I would love to see Branyan, Nick Johnson, or just for BWoodrum….Dimitri Young down in AAA.

by MrNegative1 on Feb 3, 2012 10:05 AM EST reply actions  

Miranda is good.

By which I mean probably better than Branyan, depending on health/age.

by Whelk on Feb 3, 2012 10:16 AM EST up reply actions  

Miranda is a great option in Durham.

and the only justification I can think of for letting go of Russ Canzler for cash.

JM is 28,but has never gotten consistent time in the bigs. If Los goes down, JM is likely next on the depth chart. He was platooned with Branyan in Arizona last year.

Good read on Miranda’s potential: http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/juan-miranda-rising-first-base-option/

by d.russ on Feb 3, 2012 10:59 AM EST up reply actions  

Oh thank Beejus I was waiting patiently for this years "Go get Russell the Love Muscle" article

Guys with tremendous power and shattered spines are a dime a dozen these days

I got away from the one thing that kept me on the straight and narrow, and that was my relationship with the Lord

by Sandy Kazmir on Feb 3, 2012 10:13 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

Rays also lost Ruggiano, I can see us getting a 1B/OF.

Maybe Nady? Gload is another option I’d like to see us get.

joeybw, on why he was banned for half a day:

"Might of been grammar I keep getting that "would have" thing wrong

Not on purpose, mods, wish it was….."

Classic.

by sc_monsta1015 on Feb 3, 2012 10:14 AM EST reply actions  

I hope not Nady.

I could see a trade for a guy like that but cannot think of a trade target off the top of my head.

by jcmitchell on Feb 3, 2012 10:18 AM EST up reply actions  

What is there not to like about Nady as our 1B/RF in Durham?

joeybw, on why he was banned for half a day:

"Might of been grammar I keep getting that "would have" thing wrong

Not on purpose, mods, wish it was….."

Classic.

by sc_monsta1015 on Feb 3, 2012 10:22 AM EST up reply actions  

Gotcha, and I agree

joeybw, on why he was banned for half a day:

"Might of been grammar I keep getting that "would have" thing wrong

Not on purpose, mods, wish it was….."

Classic.

by sc_monsta1015 on Feb 3, 2012 10:30 AM EST up reply actions  

OBP is Life

but I’d be willing to give Raul Ibanez a minor-league deal with an opt-out (6/1?) as Luke Scott insurance.

by AndrewTorrez on Feb 3, 2012 10:29 AM EST up reply actions  

He'll retire before he takes an MiLB deal.

joeybw, on why he was banned for half a day:

"Might of been grammar I keep getting that "would have" thing wrong

Not on purpose, mods, wish it was….."

Classic.

by sc_monsta1015 on Feb 3, 2012 10:45 AM EST up reply actions  

in a situation where there's a clear DH job waiting

and an early opt-out? I could see him taking that over a bench job in the bigs, but perhaps that’s wishful thinking.

by AndrewTorrez on Feb 3, 2012 1:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Also, the number of pitchers is shrinking.

I see Wuertz as an option, but I wonder if we would take a chance on Brandon Webb. If we did, we could start him out in the bullpen and see if he’s the same.

joeybw, on why he was banned for half a day:

"Might of been grammar I keep getting that "would have" thing wrong

Not on purpose, mods, wish it was….."

Classic.

by sc_monsta1015 on Feb 3, 2012 10:25 AM EST reply actions  

If he can't find and MLB job, yes yes yes yes yes

joeybw, on why he was banned for half a day:

"Might of been grammar I keep getting that "would have" thing wrong

Not on purpose, mods, wish it was….."

Classic.

by sc_monsta1015 on Feb 3, 2012 10:30 AM EST up reply actions  

He's actually decent vs. righties too. Has gotten better the past 3 years

joeybw, on why he was banned for half a day:

"Might of been grammar I keep getting that "would have" thing wrong

Not on purpose, mods, wish it was….."

Classic.

by sc_monsta1015 on Feb 3, 2012 10:37 AM EST up reply actions  

>10 K/9

even when he was the most hated man in Baltimore (2010), he was still a strikeout machine.

by AndrewTorrez on Feb 3, 2012 10:40 AM EST up reply actions  

Add Mike Gonzalez and Wuertz

Talk about a dominant minor-league bullpen.

joeybw, on why he was banned for half a day:

"Might of been grammar I keep getting that "would have" thing wrong

Not on purpose, mods, wish it was….."

Classic.

by sc_monsta1015 on Feb 3, 2012 10:36 AM EST reply actions  

I feel like this article is posted every year.

WOULD HAVE WOULD HAVE
If you lived closer I would have kicked the snot out of you by now

Matt Moore. That is all.
by joeybw

by SRQman on Feb 3, 2012 10:39 AM EST reply actions  

Hong Chih Kuo?

Was dominant in ’10 but struggled lasy year. Just look at those numbers 2 years ago—he also was an All-Star

joeybw, on why he was banned for half a day:

"Might of been grammar I keep getting that "would have" thing wrong

Not on purpose, mods, wish it was….."

Classic.

by sc_monsta1015 on Feb 3, 2012 10:40 AM EST reply actions  

Also only 30

joeybw, on why he was banned for half a day:

"Might of been grammar I keep getting that "would have" thing wrong

Not on purpose, mods, wish it was….."

Classic.

by sc_monsta1015 on Feb 3, 2012 10:45 AM EST up reply actions  

True.

He is resiliant, too. Always gets injured but alwasy makes a comeback.

by jcmitchell on Feb 3, 2012 10:47 AM EST up reply actions  

FUCKING WRITE ABOUT SOMETHING ELSE.

DRaysBay: Home of garbage-level analysis and circle-jerking writers.

by kericr on Feb 3, 2012 10:59 AM EST up reply actions  

Would you rather read this or nothing?

This is bannable.

joeybw, on why he was banned for half a day:

"Might of been grammar I keep getting that "would have" thing wrong

Not on purpose, mods, wish it was….."

Classic.

by sc_monsta1015 on Feb 3, 2012 10:59 AM EST up reply actions  

You already admitted you forgot the signing. Just chalk it up as a mistake and move on.

If they felt more depth was necessary they wouldn’t have moved Canzler for a bag of balls.

by firemangreg on Feb 3, 2012 11:19 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Shouldn't this same question apply to Russ Branyan?

There are some key factors to consider, and not to ignore about Branyan’s feasibility as a ballplayer:

1) He has a history of injuries, having missed 40-plus days in three of the past four seasons with back issues.
2) He barely played last season, and when he did, the results were not inspiring.
3) He is a 36-year-old three true outcomes player.
4) Describing the league’s interest in Branyan these past two offseasons as tepid would be kind.

Add those factors up and there seems to be a legitimate chance his days as a productive player are history. I don’t know if Miranda is a better hitter than Branyan, but it wouldn’t surprise me.

by R.J. Anderson on Feb 3, 2012 11:31 AM EST up reply actions  

Fair enough.

But I still see no risk in adding him on a minor league deal for depth. Only one way to find out who would be better. I just pray we don’t see Leslie Anderson at all.

by jcmitchell on Feb 3, 2012 11:33 AM EST up reply actions  

I was only responding to the idea that Branyan is clearly superior to Miranda.

I would add that the D-Backs having both and seemingly choosing Miranda over Branyan is another thing to consider, especially if you respect Kevin Towers’ ability to evaluate players. Of course, teams do make mistakes, and they eventually chose Lyle Overbay over Miranda, so it feels safe to say neither is a surefire success.

by R.J. Anderson on Feb 3, 2012 12:03 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Please read our Community Guidelines.

joeybw, on why he was banned for half a day:

"Might of been grammar I keep getting that "would have" thing wrong

Not on purpose, mods, wish it was….."

Classic.

by sc_monsta1015 on Feb 3, 2012 11:03 AM EST up reply actions  

Oh, you mean the ones I wrote?

DRaysBay: Home of garbage-level analysis and circle-jerking writers.

by kericr on Feb 3, 2012 11:05 AM EST up reply actions  

Holy shit. This.

What the hell is wrong with this place?

Last week someone “forgets” Lackey is out for the year and now we’re forgetting the Rays already addressed the 1B problem months ago.

The hell happened to quality? Do a little research before posting this garbage.

by Vin on Feb 3, 2012 11:17 AM EST via Android app up reply actions   2 recs

Because Miranda has had so much success, right?

And depth is such a horrible thing to have. Yeah, the 1B problem was securely addressed.

by jcmitchell on Feb 3, 2012 11:19 AM EST up reply actions  

I literally (figuratively) cannot wait for sign lady to hold this up at the Trop

Dewayne sees it, makes an uncomfortably understated comment, followed by uncontrolled giggling from BA.

YOU KNOW THIS IS GOING TO HAPPEN

by nomoredevil on Feb 3, 2012 5:58 PM EST up reply actions  

nice

9 recs.
Steve, the front page is calling……
by mr. maniac on Jan 24, 2012 12:46 PM EST

"Please break your typewriter and computer and never come out of your ass cave again"

by pudieron89 on Feb 3, 2012 6:19 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm all in on Russell Branyan. Or Magglio Ordonez

Vlad Guerrero or any other big bat that can for an inning or so go play a position as our 25th man on the roster.

I’m not too happy with our bench the way most here have it constructed, Fuld, Keppinger and Brignac, plus a catcher

follow me on twitter @sternfan10

by sternfan1 on Feb 3, 2012 11:11 AM EST reply actions  

I have reversed my stance since I wrote about the bench after the Pena signing.

It’s not as bad as last year, but I think a decent lefty off the bench to pinch hit for our catcher or ss is necessary. Last year our bench production was awful especially our playoff bench. If we make the playoffs Guyer will be on it, but a lefty would really help.

by jtmorgan on Feb 3, 2012 11:26 AM EST up reply actions  

No idea, but just see it as a weakness right now.

It would probably be instead of Brignac though if he was a backup and didn’t at least get the ss job vs rhp.

by jtmorgan on Feb 3, 2012 11:36 AM EST up reply actions  

Not implying you in this case, but why do many here see it as a foregone conclusion

this stiff Brignac is a lock for the 2012 Rays?

I see him traded or playing 2B in DUR come April

follow me on twitter @sternfan10

by sternfan1 on Feb 3, 2012 11:45 AM EST up reply actions  

Who do you see as a backup SS?

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Feb 3, 2012 11:49 AM EST via iPhone app up reply actions  

A scarecrow.

DRaysBay: Home of garbage-level analysis and circle-jerking writers.

by kericr on Feb 3, 2012 11:54 AM EST up reply actions  

Who's the Yankees back up? Red Sox? In other words

who cares? It should be a minimal PT position. NYY & BOS are both predicted to finish ahead of us this year, yet the Yankees have 38 yo Derek Jeter at SS and the Sox seem willing to give Nick Punto considerable PT. But we can’t win with Sean Rod as our every day SS? I disagree

follow me on twitter @sternfan10

by sternfan1 on Feb 3, 2012 1:12 PM EST up reply actions  

What is he "damn good" at?

He’s a lousy glove and can’t hit

I got away from the one thing that kept me on the straight and narrow, and that was my relationship with the Lord

by Sandy Kazmir on Feb 3, 2012 4:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Pinstripes are an automatic +5 Def constant effect

At least in perception

I got away from the one thing that kept me on the straight and narrow, and that was my relationship with the Lord

by Sandy Kazmir on Feb 3, 2012 4:52 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

So true

He was like the secondary piece in trade rumors for top starters early in the offseason. He was like Marquis Fleming in trade value.

by Ben Tumbling on Feb 3, 2012 5:00 PM EST up reply actions  

lol

I’d Rec if not on mobile

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Feb 3, 2012 5:29 PM EST via iPhone app up reply actions  

well done SK

supported me twice today—sweet

follow me on twitter @sternfan10

by sternfan1 on Feb 3, 2012 6:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Might wanna start double checking stuff before you post. ;)

WOULD HAVE WOULD HAVE
If you lived closer I would have kicked the snot out of you by now

Matt Moore. That is all.
by joeybw

by SRQman on Feb 3, 2012 6:39 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I would agree if we had someone else on the roster that could play a solid SS

but we don’t sooooo

October 28th, 2011-- a date which will live in infamy--

OTTOTD.com

by Sveet on Feb 3, 2012 11:58 AM EST up reply actions  

Lee has the potential to have the best D at SS in the future

But for right now I would be most confident in Briggy manning the SS position for the 2012 Rays. He plays a GG caliber SS right now, while Lee is going to take a year or two.

by JoeMasGlasses on Feb 4, 2012 1:45 AM EST up reply actions  

GG's are never handed out for defense alone

Reid plays nice defense, but I think it can be overstated by some fans; especially considering how terrible his bat is. I am in the camp that prefers Sean, and barring an amazing ST, I do not think Reid belongs on the opening day roster. If someone like Rhymes shows Maddon he can play capable SS in ST, Reid will be learning more versatility in Durham or traded. Just my humble opinion of course.

"My ambition is handicapped by laziness"

by Tonage on Feb 4, 2012 2:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Well that's not true

There’s a pretty decent number of times when players get GGs that they deserve purely on the merit of being the best defensive player

by benderbrodriguez on Feb 4, 2012 2:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Isn't Henry Wrigley gonna be at AAA this year, as well?

Last I checked they have him playing first now. Only real issue about him is plate discipline (haven’t found anything about his defense), but either way, wouldn’t Branyan cut into his playing time as well as Anderson and Miranda’s?

by TBRaysfan009 on Feb 3, 2012 3:19 PM EST reply actions  

Henry Wrigley had a 102 wOBA+ last year.

I hoe you are kidding. He had a .309 OBP last year. .309!!!

by mr. maniac on Feb 3, 2012 3:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Where do you find wOBA+?

All I’ve found is regular wOBA, which has Wrigley at .342 last year.

by TBRaysfan009 on Feb 3, 2012 7:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Welp it is lg adjusted but not park
Big thanks goes out to Tangotiger for pointing out how easy it was to implement this particular stat. It’s now available in all the player pages for major league and minor league players going all the way back to 1871. Please note that it is not park adjusted for minor league stats, but it is league adjusted.

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/what-is-wrc/

Follow Me on Twitter @FreeZorilla

by FreeZorilla on Feb 3, 2012 10:28 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm still trying to figure out why Keppinger was signed.

If the Rays were confident that a system of Rodriguez/Brignac was sufficient going into the season, another utility IF’er was not needed. The fact that Zobrist is around in case of a game by game need should be enough insurance if the need arises. Somewhere along this winter, the FO must have begun re-thinking the position and maybe they are less confident that Brignac will hit and/or that S-Rod can play well enough defensively to give one or the other the full time spot. If they felt that way, they could have gone out and signed a cheap,solid defensive SS who could hit at least average wise(Cedeno, McDonald, Punto, Santiago). That would have created the opportunity to send Brignac down to AAA or perhaps traded, maybe even to move S-Rod if his name came up in a deal.

But yet they went out and signed Keppinger, who is not a good defensive SS and basically is redundant to S-Rod, only not as good by a long shot. He is worse at 2nd base, can’t play the OF, hits lefties better than RH’ers and provides less flexibility for Maddon. He was not signed to be a RH’ed DH or to get PH’ing AB’s in place of Pena/Scott/Joyce against tough lefties, IMO either.

Having an all around, solid SS either to platoon or play full time would have enabled the Rays to add the what still seems like a need…a power bat on the bench and a guy who can play 1st base. And, IMO, a RH’ed bat. The Rays are going into the season, at this point, with three LH’ed DH options on an everyday basis(and by rotation if needed)…Scott, Joyce and Pena. And two of those guys are very weak(Pena and Joyce) against lefties and Scott is still a big question coming off of major shoulder surgery despite his pedestrian numbers versus LH’ers.

At this point, the only option to bring in a RH’ed 1stbase/DH/COF’er may be to send Fuld down. Rays may lose his late inning defense and speed but little else. Maybe that goes along with AF’s view that sometimes they have to weigh the difference between offense and defense in the overall construction of this line-up.

by budman3 on Feb 3, 2012 5:54 PM EST reply actions  

Seems like the Rays stated their Keppinger intentions

1) Hits lefties well in his career.
2) Low strike out/High contact hitter.
3) Some defensive flexibility.
I understand that you don’t agree with them on this one, but Maddon might be able to utilize Keppinger in ways that counter some of your concerns.

"My ambition is handicapped by laziness"

by Tonage on Feb 3, 2012 9:23 PM EST up reply actions  

The only situation that seems to work offensively is if S-Rod plays SS, Keppinger plays second and Zobrist plays RF against lefties.

I’m not sure putting out a substantially weaker up the middle defense(on those days) is the type of defensive flexibility the Rays are looking for.

by budman3 on Feb 3, 2012 10:29 PM EST up reply actions  

I think the biggest reason for getting Keppinger is to balance the bench if they think SRod will earn the starting SS job.

Without Keppinger we’d have a bench of catcher, fuld, brignac, and x. With a loogy being able to neutralize Pena/Joyce/Scott’s effectiveness in a big spot somebody who can hit lefties is crucial to have on the bench.

by jtmorgan on Feb 3, 2012 10:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Agreed.

The problem is I just don’t think that Keppinger is the guy you want or you will see PH’ing for Pena/Joyce/Scott in late inning situations or being able to combat a LOOGY by himself. And that limitation is magnified because you will hardly see Maddon losing his DH’er by PH’ing in that spot. And who will play 1st base if you pull Pena late in a game?

Which is why a RH’ed hitter who has more power and is a better hitter in run scoring situations may be a better option. Keppinger has not hit lefties(or RH’ers) as well over the last few seasons(compared to when he was younger) when looking at OPS, SLG. w/OBA, wRC+

by budman3 on Feb 3, 2012 11:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Doubtful Keppinger is used to pinch hit for Pena or Scott

If that were the case, then either of those guys would have to be having a dreadful season. My guess, the few times he pinch hits are for Joyce/Catcher and a specific spot where contact is paramount; replacing a low contact guy. I think Kotchman and Fuld intrigued them last season by adding high contact guys to the strike out heavy line up. They improved power at 1st base/DH and gave Longoria more protection, while keeping some level of balance in contact by bringing in Keppinger; plus Rhymes is there for insurance in case all your fears are realized.

"My ambition is handicapped by laziness"

by Tonage on Feb 3, 2012 11:56 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't see it happening alot.

But in high leverage contact situations that they brought in the lefty he is a pretty good option. There just needs to be something to be brought off the bench when your lineup has some vulnerabilities versus lefties.

by jtmorgan on Feb 4, 2012 9:16 AM EST up reply actions  

I think that is their plan.

It fits into statements from earlier in the off-season; a willingness to sacrifice defense occasionally, for a particular offensive output. Unlike many here, I do not think Reid is on the opening day roster; unless his ST is bombastic. Potential trade situations could change the current configuration, but it looks to be another year of platooning Joyce, and Kepp is his dance partner. Hopefully he removes all your worries with a great season vs lefties.

"My ambition is handicapped by laziness"

by Tonage on Feb 3, 2012 11:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Branyan does not appeal to me;

or any MLB teams, at this point. As others have stated above, I am not convinced that a 1st base/DH bat is what the FO is looking at right now; even on a MiLB deal. I was a bit surprised to see Paulino sign a MiLB deal elsewhere; giving a catcher like that a look in ST might be fun.

"My ambition is handicapped by laziness"

by Tonage on Feb 3, 2012 9:29 PM EST reply actions  

I just think we are reading into the injury risk of Pena and Scott a little too much

Pena has been relatively healthy throughout his career and so has Scott save for last season. The Rays have the best medical and injury prevention team in MLB and I think Miranda is enough insurance just in case a freak injury occurs.

by JoeMasGlasses on Feb 4, 2012 1:49 AM EST reply actions  

Pena goes down once in a while

Remember how Willy Aybar and later Sean Rod filled in nicely? Luke Scott just came off major shoulder surgey, so he has risk; but I do agree with your overall sentiment. I think the summary of most posts at this point is… baseball hurry up and start already. Rosterbating and trade speculations are beyond old.

"My ambition is handicapped by laziness"

by Tonage on Feb 4, 2012 2:53 AM EST up reply actions  

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