Minor League Lineups - Montgomery Biscuits
Continuing with our look at how the lineups might look for the Rays affiliates. If you missed Durham's, you can find it here. This week: Montgomery Biscuits.
Catcher - Mark Thomas, Craig Albernaz, David Wendt
Thomas was the regular catcher last season with Charlotte, where he hit .237/.299/.393. His name came up on a few Rule 5 preview pieces, but that had more to do with the shallow pool of talent in this year's draft than Thomas being a big prospect. He has decent defensive skills -- he's thrown out 41% of basestealers in his career and could've probably stuck in the majors as a defense-first backup, had he been selected -- but his bat hasn't taken the necessary steps forward since an .867 OPS in his 2007 debut with Princeton. He knocked a career-high 13 home runs with the Stone Crabs in 2011, but he doesn't hit or get on base enough to provide any real value with the stick. He's still young, entering his age 24 season, so he still has a shot to make the bigs as a back-up someday; failing that, he has a future as the next Nevin Ashley. Albernaz and Wendt are both org players, ready to be deployed wherever the Rays have a need for a catcher.
First Base - Henry Wrigley
Wrigley could conceivably move up to Durham after a .274/.309/.464 campaign with the Biscuits last year, but the presence of Juan Miranda (and Leslie Anderson) at first base, Matt Mangini at third, and Stephen Vogt as the corner-utility guy leaves little room. Wrigley's power has come on in the past two years, hitting 38 in 2010-11 after 25 in four seasons prior. He's hit .270 and .274 the past two seasons, but his on-base percentage remains a problem: it's below .300 for his career (.296) and his season-best is just .312, in 2010. While he's played 1B, 3B, and LF, he remains primarily a 1B/DH type, and his bat probably doesn't have enough juice to make it in the show. Trivia: Wrigley is one of just two players from the Rays' 2005 draft still with the organization. The other, of course, is Jeremy Hellickson.Second Base - Tyler Bortnick, Shawn O'Malley
Since being drafted in the 16th round in 2009, Bortnick has been quite a consistent performer. His batting averages in three seasons: .300, .295, and .306, while his OBP has improved each year, up to .428 in 2011 with Charlotte. While his power was down from Bowling Green, he walked more than he struck out (79-66) while being ruthlessly efficient on the basepaths with 43 steals and only four times caught. A shortstop in college, he's a good defender at second base but also has played 3B and even 1B in the Arizona Fall League (where he hit .267/.353/.400). O'Malley was covered in last week's Durham edition, and seems most likely to get stuck in Montgomery because of the numbers crunch.
Shortstop - Hak-Ju Lee
The team's consensus top positional prospect, Lee fought off a spring training bout of the chicken pox to hit .318/.389/.443 with the Stone Crabs before fading with Montgomery, where he hit just .190 in 24 games. He'll be back with the Biscuits, and the big question will be if his late-season slump was due to fatigue or if the more advanced pitching was able to overpower him. Good news: Lee hit five times as many home runs in 2011 than he did in 2010. Bad news: 1 x 5 = 5. He doesn't have the body to project for big home run power, but he can drive the ball into the gaps and with his speed, that means lots of doubles and triples (17 and 15 respectively in 2011). Lee stolen base numbers were down in 2011, as his 33-16 ratio meant he stole four fewer bags and was caught twice as often as the prior year,
Third Base - Greg Sexton
Sexton was up with the Biscuits to close the 2010 season, but a .212/.336/.310 line in 33 games had him sent back to Charlotte for 2011. With the Stone Crabs, he hit for a career-high-in-all-three .313/.382/.438 line in 77 games, but fell back once again with the Biscuits, hitting .222/.290/.314 to close out the season. With Matt Sweeney gone in the minor league portion of the Rule 5 draft and no obvious candidate to be promoted in-season from Charlotte, the Biscuits 3B job should be Sexton's for the year.
Outfield - Ty Morrison, Isaias Velasquez, Chris Murrill, Brett Nommensen, Anthony Scelfo
The Biscuits will inhereit the 2010 Charlotte speedster outfielders (plus Velasquez), although all four saw their stolen base numbers decline, a combination of injuries and not being managed by steal-happy manager Brady Williams. Nommensen had the most success of the group at the dish in 2011, hitting .292/.404/.413, although he hasn't come close to replicating the big power numbers he showed at Eastern Illinois. Morrison has the best tools, but he got a late start due to injury and his .264/.306/.309 line was a huge letdown after he seemed to improve each month with the Hot Rods in 2010. In particular, his K-BB rate imploded: A not-terribly-good 43-133 in 131 games in 2010, he drew just 11 walks and struck out 67 times in 67 games last year. Here's hoping to a fresh start with the injury in his rear-view mirror.
Acquired for Juan Salas way back when, Velasquez was limited to 63 games last year, but he did hit for a .749 OPS when healthy with the Biscuits. A middle-infielder with the Indians and his first year in the Rays system, he's moved to the outfield and has the legs to cover center. Anthony Scelfo, a former QB at Tulane, pulled the opposite switch in 2010, moving from the outfield to 2B, but he was back in the outfield in 2011. Murrill played in just 45 games last year, and his only extra-base hits were five doubles.
Random stab at an opening-day lineup:
SS Hak-Ju Lee
2B Tyler Bortnick
1B Henry Wrigley
RF Brett Nommensen
C Mark Thomas
3B Greg Sexton
DH Anthony Scelfo
LF Isaias Velasquez
CF Ty Morrison
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Unlikely with Friedman at the helm.
Bad Left Hook - The SB Nation boxing blog
"Baseball is played on the field, not on a calculator."
by Brickhaus on Feb 7, 2012 11:03 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
Pretty bad when you've only heard of 4 of them.
joeybw, on why he was banned for half a day:
"Might of been grammar I keep getting that "would have" thing wrong
Not on purpose, mods, wish it was….."
Classic.
by sc_monsta1015 on Feb 7, 2012 10:15 PM EST up reply actions
a new record low for AA HR is possible
only Lee and Bortnick are prospects, maybe Morrison
follow me on twitter @sternfan10
" If you missed Durham's, you can find it here."
Is the ‘here’ supposed to be linked? Because, I missed Durham’s I think.
Yup, sorry
http://www.draysbay.com/2012/1/31/2759437/minor-league-lineups-durham-bulls
Vroom vroom party starter
www.raysprospects.com
by Imperialism32 on Feb 8, 2012 6:57 AM EST up reply actions
Where is Michael Sheridan? Is he no longer in the organization?
It is a power starved lineup, albeit with lots of speed. And there is a possibility that someone from Charlotte may move up during the season. Rays Prospects projects Mahtook, Cody Rogers, Glaesmann, Kiermaier, Dietrich, Wunderlich and Bailey to start in the FSL.
Montgomery also has some intriguing starting pitchers. Colome should start the year there as well as Joe Cruz, Thompson and Lobstein.
I'd love to see Vettleson get fast tracked if starts off hot in A ball. Really think he's under the radar
I got away from the one thing that kept me on the straight and narrow, and that was my relationship with the Lord
WTF
Did our scouting department take a year off? Hak Ju wasn’t even ours and that lineup would make the Mariner look great.
"Trivia: Wrigley is one of just two players from the Rays' 2005 draft still with the organization"
So, yes. They took 2005 off.
08-10 look like COMPLETELY lost drafts at this point
which is sad. 06-07 were good enough to negate them for the most part, but the Rays have not been great at drafting
by benderbrodriguez on Feb 7, 2012 5:10 PM EST up reply actions
I think they definitely whiffed on a few of those top 12 picks
They went cheap and easy when they said they were going to make sure this one counted. Time will tell, but the Rays do not have a very good track record with drafting offense lately.
........
(I hate it when people grade drafts after 1-2 years)
by mr. maniac on Feb 7, 2012 10:01 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
It's obviously too early to tell for sure
But they look like lost drafts
by benderbrodriguez on Feb 7, 2012 11:30 PM EST up reply actions
I have no idea how 2010 LOOKS like a lost draft.
I have done draft studies before, and people forget how little talent comes out of each draft.
I forgot about Derek Dietrich, my bad
Between him and Vettleson there have been some glimmers of hope from the draft class.
Still, seeing such negative vibes from all our other picks thus far is definitely disheartening
by benderbrodriguez on Feb 8, 2012 3:12 PM EST up reply actions
dont forget parker markel either.
or ryan brett.
its also awfully early to give up on guys with one bad pro season. looking at our top 30 a third of our top 15 are from that 2010 draft.
Whose top 30 are you referring to?
And you’re right, I take back what I said about 2010. It’s fair to just peg it at “below what would be expected.”
by benderbrodriguez on Feb 8, 2012 11:19 PM EST up reply actions
Offensively Challenged
Hopefully the pitching will come through.
MLB Top 100 prospect lists have three 1st baseman from the 2011 draft
C.J. Cron, Alex Dickerson and Dan Vogelbach. It would have been nice to pick up one or two of these three when we had a chance.
I don't know why we didn't go after Vogelbach given that we had about 20 picks before he got taken
But given that he’s already lacking a position, I don’t blame them
by benderbrodriguez on Feb 7, 2012 11:31 PM EST up reply actions

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