Philadelphia Phillies Series Preview

PHILADELPHIA, PA - JUNE 21: Hunter Pence #3 of the Philadelphia Phillies throws the ball infield in the ninth inning of the game against the Colorado Rockies at Citizens Bank Park on June 21, 2012 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Rockies won 4-1. (Photo by Brian Garfinkel/Getty Images)


With the Nationals taking two of the three games during the past series, the Rays now head to Philadelphia, preparing to battle with the Phillies for the three game series. While the Rays are reeling, Philadelphia has also struggled, playing to a 4-6 record in their last ten games and sitting in last place in the tough NL East (33-38 record).

Probable Starters:

Friday 7:05 PM ET: James Shields v. Cliff Lee

Saturday 4:05 PM ET: Alex Cobb v. Kyle Kendrick

Sunday 1:35 PM ET: David Price v. Cole Hamels

Quick Comparison

Helloqr_medium

Helloof_medium

Helloo_medium

Cliff Lee (LHP)

77.2 IP, 0-3, 3.48 ERA, 3.13 FIP, 2.87 xFIP

So far this year, Lee hasn't quite performed up to expectations in regard to his ERA. However, his FIP and xFIP indicate he has performed in his typical ace-like manner. Cliff Lee throws six different pitches, mixing them up very cleverly. Here are the velocities per Joe Lefkowit's Pitch fx site:

Pitcher_velo_type_php_medium

via joelefkowitz.com

While Lee's repertoire isn't overpowering, his ability to baffle batters and tempt them into taking foolish swings is superb. Here are his pitch types, usages, and results.

Helloou_medium

Kyle Kendrick (RHP)

63 IP, 2-7, 5.29 ERA, 4.77 FIP, 4.90 xFIP

So far, Kendrick has had a disastrous year. Given his stats and his handness (RHP), the Rays shouldn't have too much trouble with him.

Pitcher_velo_type_php_medium

via joelefkowitz.com

Kendrick is primarily a sinker-ball pitcher, also mixing in a good changeup, a cutter, and a slider.

Hellok_medium

Cole Hamels (LHP)

97 IP, 10-3, 3.25 ERA, 3.23 FIP, 3.17 xFIP

Cole Hamels should be a hard test for the lackluster lineup the Rays put forward against left handed pitching. For the past six years, his consistent effectiveness has helped characterize the Phillies as a pitching-minded club.

Pitcher_velo_type_php_medium

via joelefkowitz.com

Cole Hamels mainly relies on locating his fastball and fooling batters with his plus-plus changeup.

Helloxq_medium

Phillies Offense

Offensively, it has been a solid year for the Phillies given their plethora of injuries. Carlos Ruiz and Hunter Pence have been two of their better hitters while Shane Victorino and Jimmy Rollins haven't hit as well as in the past.

Offense v. RHP: .245/.296/.424, .311 wOBA, 93 wRC+.

Offense v. LHP: .274/.327/.398, .317 wOBA, 97 wRC+.

Versus RHP (Cobb and Shields), Carlos Ruiz (167 wRC+), Jim Thome (137 wRC+), and Hunter Pence (129 wRC+) are strong bats.

Against LHP, Shane Victorino (181 wRC+), Carlos Ruiz (157 wRC+), and Ty Wigginton (121 wRC+) are among the Phillies best options.

Summary

Even though the Phillies haven't been dominant (or good, even) this year, they should be a tough match-up for the Rays. Cole Hamels and Cliff Lee are both legitimate aces capable of shutting down the Rays lineup. Winning 2 out of the 3 games would be a success for the Rays.


The data and statistics are from fangraphs.com, Brooks Baseball, and joelefkowitz.com.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join DRaysBay

You must be a member of DRaysBay to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at DRaysBay. You should read them.

Join DRaysBay

You must be a member of DRaysBay to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at DRaysBay. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker