Roberto Hernandez will have a good game today. I know this because I spacestar ordered it.
Seriously though, Hernandez has a career 4.68 ERA and 4.26 SIERA. He is underplayed his SIERA by 42 points on his career and only 28 points from 2006 through 2012. If his could maintain his present 3.64 SIERA, we would anticipate his ERA being anywhere from a 4.06 ERA to a 3.92 ERA.
That's actually not bad for a fifth starter / swing man. Can't we please have that?! Can we have the 4.00 ERA Hernandez instead of the 20% HR/FB, .307 BABIP, 39% LOB Hernandez that looks every bit the dud the free agent market suggested he was?