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At This Point: Pitchers

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My method for Non-Leveraged Runs Saved Above Replacement:

1. Find IP, tRA for each pitcher.

2. Subtract 0.35 from the tRA, placing it on an ERA scale.

3. Subtract that from replacement level (5.75 - #2) for starters, (4.75-#2) for relievers.

4. Divide innings by nine.

5. Multiply that number by the number found in #3.

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For example:

1. James Shields: 215 IP, 3.82 tRA.

2. 3.47

3. 2.28

4. 23.88

5. 54.4464 NLRSAR

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The results:

 

Pitcher IP tRA NLRSAR
Shields 215 3.82 54
Sonny 193.3 3.84 49
Jackson 183.3 5.68 9
Garza 184.7 4.32 37
Kazmir 152.3 4.71 24
Percival 45.7 5.59 -2
Wheeler 66.3 4.72 3
Howell 89.3 3.68 14
Balfour 58.3 2.08 20
Bradford 59.3 4.3 5

Add 'em all up and you get around 211 (more here, because I rounded) or about 21.1 WAR.  Assume some regression from Kazmir, Balfour, Howell, and addition of a new LOOGY and a long man, and that number might remain static, depending on how much you wish to regress. I used tRA* and league average totals for Price, LOOGY, and Long-Man just to see:

 

Pitcher IP tRA NLRSAR
Shields 210 4.09 47
Sonny 190 4.31 38
Price 150 6.1 0
Garza 175 4.58 30
Kazmir 170 4.71 27
Percival 50 5.43 -2
Wheeler 65 4.75 3
Howell 65 3.92 9
Balfour 55 3.17 12
Bradford 55 4.04 6
Long Man 50 5.1 0
LOOGY 50 5.1 0

For innings I either estimated (new three) or just took five off each high total for arguments sake while adding a few to the injured. We're missing about 200, I would guess 50-60 come from our "sixth starter" and the rest will be distributed amongst the relievers. Far from perfect, but it is what it is, a general idea.

All together that puts us at about 42-45ish WAR. Replacement level is a team that wins 29% of it's games, or 47. So right now, we're between a 89 and 92 win team, with quite some room to grow, and in some cases, possibly some more regression to take place.