You knew it was coming, but hey, at least I made it through a few days before trying to slam or tap the brakes on the Edwin Jackson love affair.
To state the obvious, he’s not going to possess a 0.93 WHIP or 0.64 ERA
for the rest of the year, month, and probably not even the week. His numbers
thus far are simply a mirage and the lake that lies ahead is actually a patch
of quicksand. He’s going to sink, and fast. Take a look at
I’m sure you notice that
By now, if you’ve been reading me for any amount of time,
you know how much I stress the old xBABIP – BABIP method of finding whether a
pitcher is lucky or unlucky so you can surely guess my feelings on
As for Jason Hammel, all of his numbers look dead on, and
his K/BB rate is at an even 4, higher than any of his previous numbers, but
otherwise nothing to worry about. If the Rays are going to move one of them in a
trade once the rotation gets healthy, I hope for our sake they pick
In case you were wondering about James Shields, his problem is simply a slight increase in walks; his BB/9 jumped a full walk, from 1.5 to 2.5 during the 18 innings he’s thrown. Don’t be too concerned, he walked five in this first 19 innings last year before settling in.
Last year about 30% of Carlos Pena’s flyballs went for homeruns, keep that in mind when his percentage falls from the current 42.9 range down towards 25-30.
Believe it or not Carl Crawford is hitting more line drives
than he’s ever done before. Nearly 23% of his balls in play have been of the
liner variety, making it likely that his .227 BABIP, and therefore slump, will
If Eric Hinske seems more patient than before it’s because he has been. A 4.16 P/PA is 0.07 pitches more per PA than his previous career high. Carlos Pena is also seeing a career high, 4.5 pitches. Jonny Gomes meanwhile is seeing the fewest pitches per plate appearance since his rookie year.
Another note I’d like to address, but not spend a whole post
on, is B.J. Upton’s defense. Thus far it’s been terrible and the excuses for
his poor play only irritate me more. If I have to hear that the ball has a
weird break or tail on it when