Per StatCorner, Wade Davis threw 37.4% balls in Triple-A this season and 37.1% balls in the majors. His unintentional walk rates were 8.8% and 7.9% respectively. I wanted to know whether or not we should expect that walk rate to creep up a bit, so I took every starting pitcher in the 37%-38% ball range - surprisingly a lot -- and produced a raw average*uBB%. That average was 7.98%.
I love when it happens like that.
*This simply means I didn't weight the pitchers based on pitches thrown. That probably changes the figure, but not overly much; I set the qualifying bar at 300 xOuts/PA.
Data used:
Pitcher | Ball% | uBB% |
Davis AAA | 37.4 | 8.8 |
Davis MLB | 37.1 | 7.9 |
Blanton | 37 | 6.5 |
Penny | 37.1 | 6.8 |
Holland | 37.1 | 7.7 |
Looper | 37.1 | 6.7 |
H. Bailey | 37.2 | 10.2 |
Kazmir | 37.2 | 9.5 |
Lester | 37.2 | 7.6 |
Huff | 37.3 | 7 |
Sowers | 37.3 | 9 |
Bush | 37.3 | 7 |
Wellemeyer | 37.3 | 9 |
Hampton | 37.3 | 8.1 |
Jackson | 37.3 | 7.4 |
Harden | 37.3 | 10.2 |
Price | 37.4 | 9.8 |
E. Santana | 37.4 | 7.1 |
Billingsley | 37.5 | 9.4 |
Padilla | 37.6 | 8.2 |
Ohlendorf | 37.6 | 7.2 |
West | 37.7 | 7.2 |
Guthrie | 37.8 | 6.8 |
Pelfrey | 37.8 | 7 |
Marquis | 37.8 | 7.9 |
Porcello | 37.8 | 7.3 |
Cook | 37.8 | 6.8 |
Washburn | 37.8 | 8.3 |
Cueto | 37.9 | 8 |
C. Zambrano | 37.9 | 9.8 |