What Price Is Right? (part 1)

There have been a few off-hand remarks and passing discussions about Price extension that would be similar to Longoria's last season. At first I balked at the idea of extending a pitcher with less than 50 MLB innings. To really reap any financial rewards the deal would need to be worth at least 6 years which just seems too long for a pitcher (no matter how proven).

So I drew up a few tables showing some financial possibilities that a Price extension could be based around.

First off we'll take a look at some tables showing how much he will be worth, how much he will command, and how much value he will provide over the next 6 years (that he is under team control). The first two years his salary is locked in, and the third is unless he is super-2 eligible. To estimate how much he would make in his arbitration eligible years I did 40% (for super 2 and regular arbitration 1), 60%, and 80% of his free-agent value (which is WAR*win-value).

In the first scenario, Price is a 4 WAR pitcher all of the 6 years and is not super-2 (which is impossible I believe, but play along anyway):

 Next we have him as a 3 WAR pitcher and not Super-2 (also highly unlikely):

The final non-Super-2 estimation is him as a 2 WAR pitcher:

Next we move into the likely scenarios that he is Super-2 eligible, but also a 4 WAR pitcher:

Now we have him as a 3 WAR pitcher:

Finally, a 2-WAR pitcher that is Super-2 eligible: