Predicted line*: .276/.382/.437
Actual line**: .171/.320/.220
What's gone wrong: Upton's rust at the plate is apparent. His contact rate is way down, and his groundball rate is up. He's fast, but he's not aiming well enough to amass anything higher than a .280 BABIP. That's nearly a hundred points lower than his career average. At least he's walking.
Will it get better/worse?: Better by default. No idea how long though. Could be a week or longer.
Predicted line: .292/.337/.445
Actual line: .284/.325/.365
What's gone wrong: Crawford's striking out at a career high rate. To his credit, the walk rate has quietly crept above career average, and could be heading for a career high. Not too much credit yet, though, because Crawford is still hacking at pitches out of the zone and making less contact with pitches inside of the zone.
Will it get better/worse?: Who knows. Contact rates usually stabilize relatively quickly unless there's a bigger issue at play. He's been a lot better lately, and you have to figure he'll hit a few doubles and triples eventually.
Predicted line: .265/..344/.483
Actual line: .375/.423/.734
What's gone wrong: In retrospect, the money donated to preserving our environment should've been donated to cloning machine technicians on the black market. Can you imagine nine Longorias? Scott Hatteberg step down, step down.
Will it get better/worse?: Worse, only because Evan isn't Albert Pujols or Barry Bonds.
Predicted line: .252/.378/.503
Actual line: .243/.329/.629
What's gone wrong: Well, he's not walking as much, but the added power has been a saving grace thus far. Blame a .225 BABIP for the batting average.
Will it get better/worse?: Double-edged sword. Pena's probably going to hit less homeruns and more singles/doubles as this season goes. Push, maybe?
Predicted line: .243/.371/.452
Actual line: .250/.377/.339
What's gone wrong: The power. It's not there.
Will it get better/worse?: Better. Even if you aren't a fan of Burrell for silly reasons like his splits against the AL, there's about a 0.000000000000001% chance his power skills decayed from four consecutive seasons of .500+ SLG to that of a singles hitter.
Predicted line: .259/.330/.377
Actual line: .190/.203/.293
What's gone wrong: What's went right?
Will it get better/worse?: Can it get worse?
Predicted lines: Gross .246/.343/.410 Kapler .272/.324/.423
Actual lines: Gross .214/.389/.357 Kapler .222/.300/.407
What's gone wrong: Gross has a BABIP far below career norms, but he's walk crazed. Kapler is striking out a lot more than you would expect for someone making contact on 86% of his pitches and not chasing out of the zone.
Will it get better/worse?: Almost certainly better.
Predicted line: .268/.347/.383
Actual line: .302/.371/.413
What's gone wrong: Nothing at all, despite increased strikeout rates.
Will it get better/worse?: Worse. Go figure Aki goes nuts when he's moved to the bottom of the order. That's just poor luck.
Predicted line: .273/.334/.363
Actual line: .365/.412/.508
What's gone wrong: Not much.
Will it get better/worse?: Worse.
*A rough average of CHONE and ZiPS projections.