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Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances Evaluated

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Good news:  Cool Standings has us at 44%

Bad news: PECOTA adjusted has us at 27%

Actual wild card standings:


American League Wild Card Standings

W L PCT GB STRK
New York 36 27 .571 0 Won 1
Los Angeles 32 29 .524 3 Won 3
Tampa Bay 34 31 .523 3 Won 5
Toronto 34 31 .523 3 Lost 4
Minnesota 32 33 .492 5 Lost 1
Seattle 30 33 .476 6 Lost 3
Chicago 30 34 .468 6.5 Won 2
Kansas City 28 34 .451 7.5 Won 3
Cleveland 29 36 .446 8 Won 1
Oakland 27 35 .435 8.5 Lost 3
Baltimore 27 36 .428 9 Won 2

(updated 6.15.2009 at 11:31 AM EDT)