clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

A Look at the Rays and Full Counts

New, 73 comments

With the addition of Pat Burrell, the 2009 Rays have become, well, Burellian. The Rays have really excelled at working the count and sit  2nd in the AL in walk % at 10.7%. One man sticks out like a sore thumb, Dioner Navarro  has 4 walks and is walking 1.8% of the time.  In a nutshell, Navi has been hacktastic.  The interesting thing is Navarro was a double-digit walker in 2005-06. Even just last year, he walked 7.4% of the time.

I decided to look at which hitters worked full counts the most often. I also looked at what the results were after the count reached 3-2.  Unfortunately, I  compiled this data yesterday and am too Anti-Zobrist (lazy) to adjust so the results will not include the Full Count clinic put on by Carlos Pena and Pat Burrell last night.


Onto the data:

TPA  FC FC% BB/FC  K/FC  BB/K  OBP
Carlos Pena 310 74 23.90% 36.50% 39% 0.93 0.432
Willy Aybar 155 32 20.60% 40.60% 6% 6.5 0.5
B.J. Upton 306 57 18.60% 26.30% 26% 1 0.439
Pat Burrell 156 29 18.60% 37.90% 24% 1.57 0.483
Akinori Iwamura 176 32 18.20% 21.90% 16% 1.4 0.406
Gabe Gross 149 25 16.80% 48% 12% 4 0.64
Ben Zobrist 233 39 16.70% 25.60% 28% 0.91 0.385
Gabe Kapler 111 16 14.40% 50% 0% 0.688
Evan Longoria 295 39 13.20% 41% 15% 2.67 0.59
Carl Crawford 319 33 10.30% 27.30% 12% 2.25 0.576
Jason Bartlett 211 20 9.50% 30% 20% 1.5 0.55
Dioner Navarro 223 20 9% 10% 25% 0.4 0.25

 

Wow, Carlos Pena reaches a full count 24% of the time. Once he reaches a full count he walks or strikes out over 75% of the time!

How about Gabe Kapler's pitch spoiling ability? 16 full counts resulting in 8 walks and 0 strikeouts.

Willie Aybar has shown very good ability at working the count as well with a 6.5:1 BB/K ratio in full count situations while reaching a full count 1 in 5 plate appearances.

Then we have Navarro at a team low 9% of plate appearances reaching full counts. Only 10% of those result in walks. His on base % in full counts is a pitiful .250. Eyeballing the results, only Ben Zobrist is below his season OBP in full count situations and he's within .020 or so.

As mentioned yesterday, John Jaso has been excercising a lot of plate discipline at AAA Durham with a 14.1% BB% and a 1.27 BB:K ratio. Given Jaso's patience and Navi's OBP% floundering at .239, it would not take much hitting for Jaso to outperform Navarro at the plate. Are we nearing the end of the line for Navarro?

H/T RGlass for the sweet table appearance, stats from Bref