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The 2012 Tampa Bay Rays: Fan Projections

It's that time again. A number of outlets are starting to release their predictions for the 2012 season, and we're not going to be any different. No one knows the Rays better than you all, so we'd like your input in creating projections for the core group of Rays. How will Shields, Upton, and Longoria do this season? Now's your chance to have see how your projection stacks up with everyone else.

I've listed all the major Rays players below, so clicking on a player's name takes you to a Google Doc where you can submit your projections for that player. We'll compile all of the data into one projection for each player, and publish the results at a later date. Please try and be as honest as possible.

To provide a bit of context, I've listed the Fan Projections (from FanGraphs) for many players below, using only the projections that had 15 or more submissions. It's not a huge sample either way, but better than nothing. I included their 2011 line for comparison. The biggest thing I took away is that people are really expecting a lot from Matt Moore. Only two starters had a K/9 above 10.00 last year. Expecting him to do that as a rookie may be a bit much.

Ben Zobrist

Fan Projection: .272/.362/.451, 20HR, 94RBI, 93R, 19SB, .360wOBA, 6.4 WAR

2011 line: .269/.353/.469, 20HR, 91RBI, 99R, 19SB, .360wOBA, 6.6 WAR

Evan Longoria

Fan Projection: .285/.373/.538, 33HR, 111RBI, 103R, 6SB, .388wOBA, 7.9 WAR

2011 line: .244/.355/.495, 31HR, 99RBI, 78R, 3SB, .365wOBA, 6.1 WAR

B.J. Upton

Fan Projection: .251/.333/.440, 22HR, 95RBI, 84R, 42SB, .337wOBA, 4.5 WAR

2011 line: .243/.331/.429, 23HR, 81RBI, 82R, 36SB, .337wOBA, 4.1 WAR

Matt Joyce

Fan Projection: .273/.355/.468, 21HR, 89RBI, 83R, 11SB, .356wOBA, 3.7 WAR

2011 line: .277/.347/.478, 19HR, 75RBI, 69R, 13SB, .357wOBA, 3.8 WAR

Desmond Jennings

Fan Projection: .273/.358/.432 17HR, 83RBI, 109R, 43SB, .359wOBA, 5.0 WAR

2011 line(63 games): .259/.356/.449, 10HR, 25RBI, 44R, 20SB, .361wOBA, 2.4 WAR

Sean Rodriguez

Reid Brignac

Sam Fuld

Jose Molina

Brandon Guyer



Fan Projection: 16-9, 3.17ERA, 3.43FIP, 8.71 K/9, 2.78 BB/9, 4.5 WAR

2011 line: 12-13, 3.49 ERA, 3.32 FIP, 8.75 K/9, 2.53 BB/9, 4.1 WAR

James Shields

Fan Projection: 15-10, 3.45 ERA, 3.64 FIP, 8.41 K/9, 2.18 BB/9, 4.0 WAR

2011 line: 16-12, 2.82 ERA, 3.42 FIP, 8.12 K/9, 2.35 BB/9, 4.9 WAR

Jeremy Hellickson

Fan Projection: 13-10, 3.46 ERA, 4.07 FIP, 7.14 K/9, 2.93 BB/9, 2.6 WAR

2011 line: 13-10, 2.95 ERA, 4.44 FIP, 5.57 K/9, 3.43 BB/9, 1.4 WAR

Matt Moore

Fan Projection: 12-7, 3.23 ERA, 3.26 FIP, 10.14 K/9, 3.02 BB/9, 3.5 WAR

2011 line(Minors & MLB): 13-3, 2.15 ERA, 2.27 FIP, 13.16 K/9, 2.81 BB/9

Wade Davis

Jeff Niemann

Kyle Farnsworth

Joel Peralta

Jake McGee

Brandon Gomes

Josh Lueke

J.P. Howell

Burke Badenhop