Pretend that Drew Smyly has absolutely nothing to do with David Price. Let's say that he hadn't been acquired in a trade, at all, but had simply been signed as a free agent to a very cheap four-year deal. What would you think? You would be happy. He's a pitcher worth having on your team.
This is his major league career so far (stats from FanGraphs):
It would be easy to over-analyze these numbers, so let's keep it simple:
- For a small sample size in 2013, Smyly pitched like a Cy Young contender.
- For a small sample size in 2012, as in this season, he was not as good but was still valuable.
- Taken as a whole, Smyly has been an above-average major league pitcher and he's still only 25.
- Drew Smyly is a fly ball pitcher.
- Drew Smyly probably has an average skill to suppress home runs.
- Drew Smyly probably has an average ball-in-play skill.
- Drew Smyly, like most major league pitchers, should be expected to produce an ERA of a similar caliber to his peripherals.